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Green Bay Phoenix at Michigan State Spartans ATS Preview 12/16/18

Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

The No. 9 Michigan State Spartans (8-2) welcome the Green Bay Phoenix (6-5) to Jack Breslin Student Events Center as they attempt to extend their six-game home winning streak. The game is scheduled to begin at 5 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 16, 2018.

Green Bay Phoenix vs. Michigan State Spartans Free Prediction

In the Phoenix’s last matchup, they thoroughly outplayed the Wisconsin Lutheran Warriors, 110-54. The Phoenix had a much better turnover percentage (13.7 vs. 33.4) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.592 vs. 0.379). Tank Hemphill had a good outing for Green Bay, contributing 13 points.

The Spartans were beaten by the No. 1 Kansas Jayhawks in their last outing, 92-87. Kansas’ 11.6 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over Michigan State, who had a mark of 19.5. Michigan State’s Kenny Goins put up 17 points and 11 rebounds in the contest.

Both teams have had a player step their game up over their last five games. Sandy Cohen III (0 points) has been fantastic for the Phoenix while Cassius Winston (0 points) has made great contributions to the Spartans.

Michigan State should have the advantage on the offensive side of the ball. The Spartans rank 31st in effective field goal percentage (0.561), while Green Bay ranks 145th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.493). Ball security should be an advantage for the Phoenix. They rank 31st at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 16.0 percent). Conversely, the Spartans force the 13th-fewest turnovers in the nation (opponents’ turnover percentage of 15.4 percent).

Green Bay at Michigan State ATS Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Michigan State, ATS Winner – Michigan State, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes:

Michigan State averages 43.3 rebounds per game, which ranks seventh in the NCAA. Green Bay ranks 273rd in rebounds allowed per game (41.3).

The Phoenix rank 13th in steals per game (9.2) while the Spartans rank 167th in steals allowed per game (7.1).

Michigan State ranks second in assists per game (19.4) while Green Bay ranks 130th in assists allowed per game (13.2).

The Phoenix rank 37th in blocks allowed per game (2.6) while the Spartans rank 135th (3.6).

Michigan State ranks 142nd in three pointers allowed per game (22.3) while Green Bay ranks 239th (25.5).

Bettings Trends:

The Phoenix’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 12.4, up from 7.0 for the season.

During their last five games, the Spartans have scored an average of 92.2 points per game (7.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 66.6 points per game (1.1 below their season average).

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