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Houston Astros at Baltimore Orioles Free Pick 09/29/18

Robert Hanashiro-USA TODAY Sports

The Baltimore Orioles will welcome the Houston Astros to Camden Yards in Game 2 of their doubleheader. This AL matchup will get underway at 7:35 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network.

Houston Astros at Baltimore Orioles Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Baltimore (+210) as the underdog to Houston (-230). The total is sitting at 8.5 runs and gamblers can wager on the over or the under for -110. The game’s current runline odds sit at -155 for picking the Astros -1.5 runs and +135 for the Orioles +1.5.

The Orioles are 46-113 straight up (SU) and 65-93 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 52.6 units for moneyline bettors and 40.8 units (ATS). Baltimore has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Astros, on the other hand, are 101-58 SU and have gone 82-76 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 3.4 units for moneyline bettors and 1.8 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

Baltimore games have had an over/under record of 72-81-5 in 2018. Houston has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 70-80-8.

The southpaw Dallas Keuchel is the projected starter for the visiting Astros. Keuchel (12-11, 3.75 ERA) has recorded 151 strikeouts in 201.2 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 1.80 ERA against Baltimore this year.

The Orioles are putting the ball in the hands of Yefry Ramirez (1-7, 6.07 ERA), who has 58 punchouts and 33 walks, as well as a 1.55 WHIP. Ramirez has yet to face the Astros this year and did not record any MLB pitching stats last season.

Houston’s pitchers have allowed 3.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.19 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 10.35 K/9. The bullpen has logged a solid ERA of just 2.98, along with a WHIP of 1.12.

Astros hitters have slashed .256/.332/.426 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Houston’s hitters have been led by third baseman Alex Bregman and second baseman Jose Altuve, who’ve collectively launched 44 home runs. Bregman is slashing .289/.395/.537 with 31 home runs, 103 RBIs and 104 runs scored, while Altuve has a .314 average with 13 homers, 61 RBIs, 84 runs and 17 stolen bases.

For the home team, Baltimore’s pitching staff has given up 5.6 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 5.53 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.82 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 8.1 K/9.

The Baltimore hitters have produced 3.9 runs per outing, including 3.8 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .251/.316/.433 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Orioles’ offense has been led by outfielders Adam Jones and Trey Mancini. Jones is slashing .281/.313/.420 with 15 home runs, 63 RBIs and 54 runs scored, and Mancini’s line is .242/.300/.419 with 24 homers, 57 RBIs and 68 runs.

The Orioles have lost 3.1 units and are 25-28 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 25 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers.

Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The over has cashed in three of Houston’s last seven outings.

The Astros have won six of their last seven games SU.

Baltimore has posted 20.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.6 over its last five.

Each team has hit 10 home runs over its last 10 games.

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Written by GMS Previews

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