The Houston Astros will face the Chicago White Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and WGN will be televising this AL matchup.
Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox Odds
The Astros have gone 14-7 SU this year and are 10-10 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.4 units for moneyline bettors through the early portions of the year and 1.9 units ATS. The White Sox, on the other hand, are 4-12 SU and 6-9 ATS. The team’s lost 7.0 units for moneyline bettors and 5.0 units ATS.
White Sox games have an 8-7 over/under record thus far in 2018. Houston has been a decent under bet with a total record of 7-13.
Southpaw Dallas Keuchel is the probable starter for the visiting Astros. Keuchel is 0-3 with a 3.52 ERA and 19 strikeouts. He has yet to face Chicago this year, but he did make two starts against the White Sox in 2017, compiling a 0-2 record against them with a 9.00 ERA and nine strikeouts.
The White Sox will put the ball in the right hand of Lucas Giolito (0-2, 5.50 ERA, 1.39 WHIP), who’s got eight strikeouts and 12 walks. Giolito only made one start against the Astros in 2017 (0-1, 2.70 ERA and three strikeouts across 6.2 innings).
Houston’s pitchers have allowed 2.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 2.15 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and 11.52 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 2.75, along with a WHIP of 1.02 and a K-per-9 of 9.92.
Astros hitters have slashed .249/.333/.393 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Houston’s offensive production been powered by shortstop Carlos Correa and catcher Brian McCann. Correa is slashing .319/.369/.569 with four home runs, 17 RBIs and 14 runs scored, while McCann (.359/.490/.487) has produced one homers, five RBIs and nine runs scored.
McCann performed well against right-handed pitchers on the road last year, putting up a slash line of .269/.348/.522 across 155 such plate appearances (his overall season line was .241/.323/.436).
For the home team, Chicago’s pitching staff has allowed 6.4 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.99, a WHIP of 1.61 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 5.9. The bullpen has a 5.81 ERA, 1.68 WHIP and 10.6 K/9.
The Chicago offense has produced 3.9 runs per outing, including 2.6 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .199/.260/.271 over its last five contests and is 0-5 SU during that span.
The White Sox batters have been led by Matt Davidson and Jose Abreu. Davidson is slashing .216/.365/.529 with five home runs, 11 RBIs and 10 runs scored, and Abreu’s line is .273/.342/.500 with 18 hits, nine RBIs and nine runs scored.
Abreu performed well against lefty pitching in 2017, slashing .356/.402/.631 over 164 plate appearances (his overall season line was .304/.354/.552).
The Astros have lost 3.8 units and are 5-7 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in three of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the White Sox have lost 1.9 units and are 2-2 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in three of those games, compared to one that went under the total.
Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – White Sox, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – UNDER
Notes
Betting Notes
The under has cashed in just two of Chicago’s last seven games.
The White Sox have lost 10 of their last 11 games SU.
Chicago has recorded 16.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.2 over its last five.
The Astros have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
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