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Houston Astros at Detroit Tigers Matchup 09/11/18

Eric Bronson-USA TODAY Sports Images

The Houston Astros will be facing off against the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park. ATTSN Southwest will be televising this AL matchup and the action gets underway at 6:40 p.m. ET.

Houston Astros at Detroit Tigers Odds

The Astros have gone 90-54 SU this year and are 75-68 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 8.0 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, despite having gained 1.1 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread in each of its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 59-85 SU and 74-69 ATS. They’ve lost 3.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.5 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Detroit games have an over/under record of 60-76-7 in 2018. The Astros have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 63-73-7.

Framber Valdez will get the start for the visiting Astros. Valdez is 3-1 with a 1.37 ERA and 15 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Tigers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Tigers are handing the ball to righty Jordan Zimmermann (7-6, 4.03 ERA), who has 97 strikeouts and 19 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.21. Zimmermann made two starts against the Astros in 2017, compiling a 0-1 record with a 3.46 ERA and five strikeouts.

Detroit’s pitching staff has allowed 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.45 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.44 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.1 K/9.

The Detroit hitters have put up 3.9 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .251/.332/.401 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Tigers’ batters have been led by outfielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Castellanos is hitting .297/.353/.492 with 20 home runs, 79 RBIs and 77 runs scored, and the line for Iglesias stands at .269/.310/.389 with five homers, 48 RBIs, 43 runs and 15 stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, Houston’s pitchers have allowed 3.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.18 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 10.32 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.91, along with a K/9 of 10.75.

The Astros offense has slashed .256/.332/.431 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Houston’s hitters have been led by third baseman Alex Bregman and second baseman Jose Altuve, who have combined to drive in 150 runs. Bregman is hitting .297/.400/.559 with 30 home runs, 97 RBIs and 99 runs scored. Altuve is hitting .317/.382/.452 with 11 homers, 53 RBIs, 73 runs and 15 stolen bases.

The Astros have lost 0.3 units and are 48-41 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over’s hit in 38 of those games, compared to 46 that’ve gone under against y starters.

Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Tigers, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Houston has recorded 18 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Detroit has 15 XBH over its last five.

The Astros have won eight of their last nine games SU.

Houston has recorded 21 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24 over its last five.

The Astros have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Tigers have hit 11 over their last 10.

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