The Houston Astros will be squaring off against the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. ATTSN Southwest will broadcast this AL showdown and the first pitch will be at 7:07 p.m. ET.
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds
Houston (-160) is favored over Toronto (+150) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Runline odds sit at -110 for taking the Astros -1.5 runs and -110 for the Blue Jays +1.5.
The Blue Jays are 71-86 straight up (SU) and 69-87 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 7.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 29.0 units (ATS). Toronto has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Astros have gone 99-57 SU this year and are 80-75 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 4.3 units for moneyline bettors and 2.8 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Toronto games have an over/under record of 79-68-9 in 2018. The Astros have been a decent under bet with a total record of 70-77-8.
Josh James will get the start for the visiting Astros. James is 1-0 with a 2.81 ERA and 24 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Blue Jays this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Blue Jays are putting the ball in the right hand of Sam Gaviglio (3-8, 5.18 ERA, 1.42 WHIP), who has 99 punchouts and 33 walks this season. Gaviglio made two starts against the Astros in 2017, posting a 0-2 record with a 5.25 ERA.
Toronto’s pitching staff has given up 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 5.10, a WHIP of 1.43 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.5. The bullpen has a 4.51 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.
The Toronto offense has put up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .275/.315/.485 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Blue Jays’ offense has been led by right fielder Kevin Pillar and first baseman Justin Smoak. Pillar is slashing .249/.279/.422 with 15 home runs, 58 RBIs, 63 runs and 14 stolen bases, and Smoak’s line is .244/.353/.462 with 25 homers, 77 RBIs and 67 runs.
For the visitors, Houston’s pitching staff allowed 3.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.19 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 10.41 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.07, along with a K-per-9 of 10.68.
The Astros offense has slashed .257/.334/.429 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Houston’s hitters have been led by third baseman Alex Bregman and second baseman Jose Altuve, who have combined to launch 43 home runs. Bregman is hitting .288/.395/.534 with 30 home runs, 101 RBIs and 103 runs scored, while Altuve is hitting .317/.388/.456 with 13 homers, 61 RBIs, 84 runs and 17 stolen bases.
The Astros have gained 2.8 units and are 51-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 43 of those games, compared to 47 that’ve gone under against ies.
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has cashed in four of Toronto’s last seven games.
The Blue Jays have dropped three of their last four games SU.
Houston has recorded 23.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 26.4 over its last five.
The Astros have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
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