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Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview 08/03/18

Richard Mackson-USA TODAY Sports

The Houston Astros will head west to face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium. ATTSN Southwest will televise this interleague matchup and the action gets going at 10:10 p.m. ET.

Houston Astros at Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

Oddsmakers have put identical -105 moneyline odds on both of these teams. Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -110 for over 7.5 runs and -110 for under 7.5. The game’s current runline odds sit at +140 for betting the Astros -1.5 runs and -160 for the Dodgers +1.5.

The Dodgers are 60-46 straight up (SU) and 49-60 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 17.1 units for moneyline bettors and 10.8 units (ATS). Los Angeles has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Astros are 68-39 SU and have gone 55-55 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 6.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.2 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Dodgers games have a 54-52-3 over/under record in 2018. The Astros have been a decent under bet with a total record of 49-55-6.

Right-hander Justin Verlander is the probable starter for the visiting Astros. Verlander (10-6, 2.24 ERA) has recorded 190 strikeouts in 148.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Dodgers this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 1.13 ERA and nine strikeouts across eight innings).

The Dodgers are going with lefty Alex Wood (7-5, 3.68 ERA), who has 103 strikeouts and 27 walks, as well as a 1.17 WHIP. Wood did not record a start against the Astros in 2017.

As a unit, Los Angeles’ pitching staff has allowed 3.9 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 3.28 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.79 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.

Los Angeles’ hitters have produced 4.8 runs per contest, including 5.6 per game over its last 10 games and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .241/.354/.422 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Dodgers’ batters have been led by outfielders Matt Kemp and Chris Taylor. Kemp is hitting .296/.344/.501 with 17 home runs, 64 RBIs and 50 runs scored, while Taylor’s line is .253/.327/.445 with 12 homers, 50 RBIs and 63 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Houston’s pitching staff allowed 3.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.03 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 10.28 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.25, along with a WHIP of 1.09.

Astros hitters have slashed .258/.335/.431 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game this year, including 5.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Houston’s offensive production has been led by second baseman Jose Altuve and third baseman Alex Bregman, who collectively have belted 31 home runs. Altuve is hitting .329/.392/.464 with nine home runs, 46 RBIs, 64 runs and 14 stolen bases, while Bregman (.281/.382/.530) is up to 22 homers, 71 RBIs and 73 runs scored.

The Astros have lost 10.8 units and are 18-24 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 18 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Dodgers have lost 12.4 units and are 31-39 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 43 of those games, as opposed to 25 which went under the total.

Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has cashed in three of Houston’s last seven games.

Los Angeles has recorded 24.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.2 over its last five.

The Astros have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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