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Houston Astros vs. Oakland Athletics Free Pick 08/17/18

Astros vs Yankees
Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

The Houston Astros are traveling west to take on their divisional rival Oakland Athletics at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum. The matchup will begin at 10:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to NBC Sports – California to catch the action.

Houston Astros vs. Oakland Athletics Odds

Houston (-135) is coming into this one as the favorite over Oakland (+125) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at eight runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at Astros -1.5 runs (+110) and Athletics +1.5 runs (-130).

The Athletics are 72-49 straight up (SU) and 61-60 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 28.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 0.8 units (ATS). The Astros are 74-47 SU and have gone 61-60 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 11.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.2 units ATS.

Athletics games have an over/under record of 55-59-7 in 2018. The Astros have been a good under bet with a total record of 52-63-6.

Charlie Morton is getting the start for Houston. The right-handed Morton is 12-3 with a 2.88 ERA and 171 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 6.23 ERA against Oakland this year.

The Athletics are handing the ball to righty Edwin Jackson (4-2, 2.48 ERA), who has 41 punchouts and 17 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.03. Jackson has yet to face the Astros this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 3.00 ERA across six innings).

Houston’s pitching staff allowed 3.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.06 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 10.43 K/9. The bullpen has logged a solid ERA of just 3.05, along with a WHIP of 1.09 and a K/9 of 10.89.

Astros hitters have slashed .255/.331/.428 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game this year, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Houston’s hitters have been paced by second baseman Jose Altuve and third baseman Alex Bregman, who have combined to drive in 120 runs. Altuve is slashing .329/.392/.464 with nine home runs, 46 RBIs, 64 runs and 14 stolen bases, while Bregman is hitting .278 with 22 homers, 74 RBIs and 77 runs scored.

For the home team, Oakland’s pitching staff has given up 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.10, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 6.5. The bullpen has a 3.37 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 51 games against AL West opponents, Athletics starters have an ERA of 5.23 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.76.

Oakland’s offense has put up 4.7 runs per contest, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .283/.355/.483 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Marcus Semien and second baseman Jed Lowrie have led the Athletics’ hitters this year. Semien is slashing .263/.323/.389 with 10 home runs, 45 RBIs, 69 runs and 13 stolen bases, while Lowrie’s line is .271/.350/.468 with 19 homers, 76 RBIs and 53 runs.

The Astros have lost 0.1 units and are 40-34 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 32 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Athletics have netted 20.8 units and are 38-39 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 37 of those games, compared to 37 that went under.

Houston Astros at Oakland Athletics MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has cashed in five of Houston’s last seven games.

Houston has recorded 19.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.0 over its last five.

The Astros have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Athletics have hit 14 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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