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Houston Rockets – Golden State Warriors Preview – 04.27.2016

The Houston Rockets head to ORACLE Arena to take on the Golden State Warriors in Game 5 of the Western Conference Quarterfinals. The game starts at 10:30 pm ET on Wednesday, Apr. 27 and will air on TNT and GS2.

The Warriors easily got past the Rockets 121-94 on Sunday. Andre Iguodala had 22 points, five rebounds, and four assists for Golden State.

The Warriors enter the game with records of 76-10 Straight Up (SU) and 46-37-3 Against The Spread (ATS). They have a record of 76-10 SU and 46-37-3 ATS versus the Western Conference. The Warriors have the most prolific offense in the entire league, averaging 114.6 points per game. The Warriors lead the NBA in three-point field goals, making 1,122 from beyond the arc (13.0 per game). Golden State has an edge in the rebounding department for this game, where they rack up an average of 46.1 rebounds per game. No team in the league has a higher assist-to-turnover ratio than Golden State, which tops the league at 1.95. Transitioning to the Golden State defense, teams really have to fight for open three-pointers against the Warriors, who have the best opponent three-point field goal percentage in the league at .330.

On the other side, the Rockets have a record of 37-48-1 ATS and 42-44 SU. Most recently, Houston is 7-3 ATS over the last 10 games. The Rockets rank fourth in the league in scoring, averaging 106.0 points per game. Shifting to the other side of the court, teams with weak ball handling have not fared well against the Rockets, who lead the league with 9.9 steals per game. A large part of Houston’s game is creating turnovers and turning them into points. They are scoring 18.7 points per game off turnovers, which ranks second in the league.

Golden State won the last meeting this season between these two teams, bumping its SU record to 8-2 over the Rockets in their last 10 meetings. The Warriors also hold the advantage ATS with a record of 7-3.

Predictions: SU Winner – GS

Notes

Houston has allowed an average of 108.2 points per away game this season. Golden State averages 116.0 points per home game, placing the team at the top of the NBA in scoring.

In its last game, Golden State won by a 27-point margin. Houston is 6-7 in games decided by a margin of 18 points or more. Golden State has a 24-3 record in blowouts.

In games where they allow fewer than 100 points, the Houston Rockets are a stellar 16-5. In games where they score fewer than 100 points, the Golden State Warriors have a subpar record of 2-6.

When the Houston Rockets allow at least 100 points they are 26-39, while the Golden State Warriors are 74-4 when they reach the century mark.

The Warriors have a defensive rating of 101.1, fourth-best in the NBA. The Rockets also rank in the top half of the league for their offensive rating of 105.5 (ranked ninth).

The Golden State Warriors have one of the best field goal percentages this season, ranking first in the league with a FG% of 48.6%. When their opponents record a similar or higher FG%, the Houston Rockets have an abysmal 5-22 record.

The Houston Rockets rank lower for their field goal percentage (14th) than their effective field goal percentage (seventh), while the Golden State Warriors rank the same for both metrics (first).

The Golden State Warriors top the league in assist to turnover ratio this season with an A/TO of 1.95. The Houston Rockets have an A/TO of 1.43 (ranked 26th).

The Golden State Warriors are one of the best rebounding teams in the league, earning 46.1 rebounds per game (ranked third). The Houston Rockets rank 19th, rebounding 43.2 times each game.

Golden State is the top-ranked team in terms of defensive rebounds. On the other side, Houston is a very strong team when it comes to offensive rebounding, ranked seventh.

On average, the Rockets force a turnover rate of 15.6%, ranked second in the NBA. When the Warriors turn over the ball at a similar or higher rate, the team has a superb 32-5 record.

Written by GMS Previews

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