The Kansas City Chiefs (+15) are set to pay a visit to the Oakland Raiders at Oakland Coliseum. Kickoff for this AFC West game is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET and CBS will televise the action.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Oakland Raiders Betting Preview
Kansas City is significantly favored here and is currently giving up 15 points to Oakland. If the Raiders seize momentum early it will create a worthwhile live betting opportunity. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 56 points.
The surprising Chiefs are 8-2-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 6.9 units so far. The team’s posted an Over-Under mark of 6-5. The Raiders have been a disappointment to moneyline bettors this season, losing 6.5 units. The team is 3-8 ATS and has an O/U record of 5-6.
The Chiefs have gone 9-2 straight up (SU), including 3-0 SU against AFC West opponents. The Raiders are 2-9 SU overall and 0-3 SU against divisional foes.
The Chiefs lost to the Rams 54-51 in a Week 11 game where the passing attack left much to be desired as Patrick Mahomes completed 33-of-46 passes for 478 yards, six touchdowns and three interceptions. Kareem Hunt (70 rushing yards on 14 attempts) led the running attack. Tyreek Hill (10 receptions, 215 yards, two TDs) and Travis Kelce (10 catches, 127 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
In Week 12, Baltimore knocked off this Oakland crew by a score of 34-17. Derek Carr completed 16-of-34 passes for 194 yards and one touchdown. Doug Martin had a monster statline in the loss. Along with 51 yards on 11 rush attempts (and one TD), Martin also reeled in three catches for 21 yards.
Each team has a similar (59-41 pass-to-run ratio on the season. Having said that, the Chiefs have run for 116 yards/game (including 99 per game versus West opponents) and have 10 scores on the ground this year. The Raiders haven’t been quite as successful. They’re putting up 99 rushing yards per game (82 in conference) and have five total rush TDs.
If the results so far this season can translate to this game, then it appears the Chiefs may have the more disruptive lines up front. Their offensive line has yielded just 37 sacks while their D-line registered 31 sacks. The Raiders O-line has given up 24 sacks and their defense has forced only 31 sacks.
The Chiefs offense has averaged 330 yards in the air overall (288 per game versus conference opposition) and has 37 passing TDs so far. The Raiders have recorded 258 pass yards per contest (266.3 against AFC competition) and have 13 total pass scores.
Defensively, Kansas City has let opponents rush for an average of 118 yards and pass for 320 yards per game. The Oakland D has allowed 244.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 151.4 yards per game to opposing runners. The Chiefs are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.30 to opposing QBs, while the Raiders have given up a staggering 8.58 ANY/A.
Offensively, Mahomes has already put up 3,379 passing yards this year. The signal-caller has completed 67 percent of his 363 attempts with 35 scores through the air and only 10 interceptions. Mahomes has a pristine 9.37 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 8.35 over the last two games.
Look for a balanced attack offensively from Kansas City in this one. As a group, Tyreek Hill, Kareem Hunt and Travis Kelce have combined for 732 yards from scrimmage and six touchdowns over the last two outings.
Derek Carr has connected on 244-of-353 passes for 2,635 yards, 11 TDs and eight INTs for Oakland. His ANY/A sits at 6.03 for the year and 5.76 over his past two outings.
We expect the Raiders to control tempo by putting the ball into the hands of their running backs. Seth Roberts (281 receiving yards, two TDs this season) has chipped in lately, but Doug Martin (332 rush yards, one rush TD) and Jalen Richard (58 rush yards, 415 receiving yards) have been focal points in the Oakland offense.
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Notes
Betting Trends
The Kansas City D has 36 sacks on the year while Oakland has just 10.
Oakland has lost six fumbles this season while Kansas City has let three get away.
The Chiefs offense has registered 11 pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Raiders have put up five such plays.
The Kansas City defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Oakland has given up 12 such plays.
The Kansas City offense has created 11 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Oakland has created four such runs.
The Chiefs defense has allowed seven rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Raiders have given up nine such runs.
The Over/Under for Oakland’s previous outing was set at 41.5. The over cashed in that 34-17 loss to Baltimore.
Over its last three matches, Oakland is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
In its last three matchups, Kansas City is 1-1-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
The Over/Under for Kansas City’s last game was set at 63.5. The over cashed in the team’s 54-51 loss to the Rams.
Kansas City has averaged 5.3 yards per carry over its last three contests and 5.0 over its last two.
Oakland has averaged 4.5 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.2 over its past two.
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