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Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox Betting Preview 07/31/18

David Banks-USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas City Royals will head north to Guaranteed Rate Field to square off against their AL Central foe Chicago White Sox. WGN will be televising the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 8:10 p.m. ET.

Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox Odds

Both teams have matching moneyline odds (-105) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). The game’s current runline odds sit at +140 for taking the Royals -1.5 runs and -160 for the White Sox +1.5.

The Royals have gone 32-72 SU this year and are 48-57 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 27.1 units for moneyline bettors and 17.6 units ATS. Kansas City has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The White Sox, on the other hand, are 37-67 SU and 52-53 ATS. The team’s lost 18.6 units for moneyline bettors and 8.3 units ATS. Chicago has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Chicago games have an over/under record of 50-50-5 in 2018. The Royals have been a good under bet with a total record of 43-56-6.

Danny Duffy is getting the nod for Kansas City. The left-handed Duffy is 6-9 with a 4.70 ERA and 113 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 16 strikeouts and a 4.76 ERA against Chicago this year (three starts).

The White Sox are planning to start righty James Shields (4-12, 4.53 ERA), who has 104 strikeouts and 53 walks to his name, as well as a 1.30 WHIP. Shields is 2-0 with seven strikeouts and a 4.26 ERA over two starts against Kansas City this year.

Chicago’s pitching staff has allowed 5.4 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starters have a 5.31 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 6.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.57 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 41 games against AL Central foes, White Sox starters have an ERA of 4.63 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.27.

The Chicago offense is putting up 4.1 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .266/.321/.514 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The White Sox hitters have been led by first baseman Jose Abreu and third baseman Yolmer Sanchez. Abreu is slashing .260/.322/.460 with 16 home runs, 59 RBIs and 52 runs scored, while Sanchez’s line is .249/.305/.392 with six homers, 43 RBIs, 37 runs and 10 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Kansas City’s pitching staff allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starters own a 5.27 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 7.28 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.39, along with a WHIP of 1.46.

Royals hitters have slashed .241/.305/.373 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Kansas City’s hitters have been paced by second baseman Whit Merrifield and third baseman Mike Moustakas, who collectively have blasted 25 home runs. The speedy Merrifield is hitting .300/.372/.422 with five home runs, 32 RBIs, 49 runs and 22 stolen bases, while Moustakas is hitting .249/.309/.468 with 20 homers, 62 RBIs and 46 runs scored.

The Royals have lost 24.7 units and are 28-42 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 30 of those games, compared to 35 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the White Sox have lost 8.8 units and are 11-14 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to 12 that’ve gone under.

Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – White Sox, ATS Winner – White Sox, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The under has hit in three of Kansas City’s last seven games.

Chicago has recorded 22.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.2 over its last five.

The Royals have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.

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