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Kansas City Royals at New York Yankees Free Preview 07/26/18

Peter G. Aiken/USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas City Royals will head east to square off against the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. The game gets underway 7:05 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Kansas City is in line to televise this AL showdown.

Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees Odds

Oddsmakers are listing New York (-265) as the favorite over Kansas City (+235). The total is sitting at 9.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over or the under for -110. The game’s current runline odds stand at +105 for picking the Royals +1.5 runs and -125 for the Yankees -1.5.

The Yankees are 64-36 straight up (SU) and 51-48 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 5.9 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 0.7 units (ATS). The Royals have gone 31-70 SU this year and are 46-54 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 26.3 units for moneyline bettors and 17.6 units ATS.

Yankees games have an over/under record of 44-51-4 in 2018. The Royals have also been a good under bet with a total record of 41-54-5.

Right-hander Jakob Junis will get the nod for the visiting Royals. Junis (5-10, 5.03 ERA) has recorded 98 punchouts in 105.2 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with three strikeouts and a 3.38 ERA against New York this year.

The Yankees are going with righty Sonny Gray (7-7, 5.34 ERA), who has 91 strikeouts and 42 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.49. Gray is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 1.13 ERA in one start against Kansas City this year.

Kansas City’s pitching staff allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starters own a 5.25 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 7.38 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.46, along with a WHIP of 1.45.

Royals hitters have slashed .240/.303/.370 on their way to 3.6 runs scored per game this year, including 4.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Kansas City’s hitters have been paced by second baseman Whit Merrifield and third baseman Mike Moustakas. The speedy Merrifield is hitting .300/.369/.426 with five home runs, 32 RBIs, 47 runs and 19 steals, while Moustakas has a .249 average with 20 homers, 62 RBIs and 45 runs scored.

In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have given up 3.9 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.02, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 2.76, a WHIP of 1.08 and a K/9 of 11.6.

The New York hitters have put up 5.2 runs per outing, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .281/.337/.360 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Yankees’ batters have been led by Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge. Stanton is hitting .283/.349/.514 with 23 home runs, 60 RBIs and 61 runs scored, and Judge’s line is .283/.396/.547 with 26 homers, 61 RBIs and 69 runs.

The Royals have lost 27.1 units and are 27-41 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 29 of those games, compared to 34 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 8.8 units and are 36-33 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 32 of those games, as opposed to 35 that’ve gone under.

Kansas City Royals at New York Yankees Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Royals, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The under has hit in just two of New York’s last seven games.

Kansas City has posted 20.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.6 over its last five.

Both teams have hit 11 home runs over their last 10 games.

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Written by GMS Previews

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