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Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick 04/17/18

David Richard-USA TODAY Sports

The Toronto Blue Jays will welcome the Kansas City Royals to Rogers Centre in the 2 game of a doubleheader. The game gets underway 6:37 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Kansas City is in line to showcase this AL showdown.

Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Toronto (-190) is favored over Kansas City (+180) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). You can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at Royals +1.5 runs (-125) and Blue Jays +-1.5 runs (+105).

The Royals have gone just 3-10 SU this year and are 6-7 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 3.4 units ATS. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 9-5 SU and 8-6 ATS. The team has gained 3.0 units for moneyline bettors and 2.8 units ATS.

Toronto games have had an over/under record of 5-8-1 so far in 2018. Kansas City has an over/under record of 4-9.

Danny Duffy (0-2, 5.40 ERA) will get the nod for Kansas City. The left-handed Duffy started 24 games last year and finished the season 9-10 overall with a 3.81 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP.

The Blue Jays are going with righty Joe Biagini as their starter. Biagini started 18 games last year and finished the season 3-13 overall with a 5.34 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP.

Toronto’s pitching staff has given up 3.8 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starters have a 4.58 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.38, a WHIP of 1.15 and a K/9 of 9.5.

The Toronto hitters have produced 5.1 runs per outing, including 5.7 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .239/.320/.398 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Blue Jays’ offense has been led by Yangervis Solarte, who is slashing .286/.423/.500 with 12 hits, four RBIs and seven runs scored. Solarte didn’t seem to enjoy hitting against lefty pitching at home in 2017, slashing .136/.261/.136 across 69 such plate appearances (his total season line was .255/.314/.416).

In the visiting dugout, Kansas City’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 3.34 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 7.43 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 6.26, along with a WHIP of 1.20.

The Royals offense has slashed .231/.300/.325 on its way to 3.0 runs scored per game this season, including 2.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (0-5 SU).

Kansas City’s offense has been led by Mike Moustakas. Moustakas is hitting .327/.352/.596 with 17 hits, nine RBIs and nine runs scored.

The Royals just dropped a 5-3 game to the Angels, while the Blue Jays are coming off of an 8-4 win against the Indians.

Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Royals, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Notes

The under has hit in three of Toronto’s last seven games.

The Royals have hit four home runs in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have hit 15 over their last 10.

Toronto has averaged 21.3 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 outings and 22.2 over its last five.

The Royals have lost six of their last seven games SU while the Blue Jays have won four of their last five SU.

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