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Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox Free Preview 05/01/18

Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

The Boston Red Sox will play host to the Kansas City Royals at Fenway Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will be showing this AL matchup.

Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox Odds

Kansas City (+240) is hosting this game as the underdog to Boston (-275) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total stand at +100 for the under and -120 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at +110 for the Royals +1.5 runs and -130 for the Red Sox -1.5.

The Red Sox are 21-7 SU and 13-14 ATS. They’ve gained 10.4 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 0.7 units against the spread (ATS). Boston has a – ATS mark over its last seven games and the . The Royals have gone 7-21 SU this year and are 10-17 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 12.6 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 11.3 units ATS. Kansas City is – ATS over its last seven games and the .

Red Sox games have had an over/under record of 14-12-1 so far in 2018. The Royals have been a decent under bet with a total record of 9-16-2.

Right-hander Jakob Junis is the projected starter for the visiting Royals. Junis is 3-2 with a 3.34 ERA and 25 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Red Sox are handing the ball to lefty Chris Sale (2-1, 2.31 ERA), who’s got 45 strikeouts and eight walks, as well as a WHIP of 0.97. Sale only made one start against the Royals in 2017 (1-0, 3.24 ERA and 10 strikeouts across 8.1 innings).

Boston’s pitchers have allowed 3.4 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.26, a WHIP of 1.14 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.3. The bullpen has a 3.47 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.

The Boston offense is putting up 5.7 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 5.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .279/.340/.430 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Red Sox offense has been led by Mookie Betts and J.D. Martinez. Betts is hitting .344/.439/.733 with eight home runs, 18 RBIs and 29 runs scored, and Martinez is batting .337 with five homers, 22 RBIs and 17 runs.

Martinez appeared to enjoy hitting at home in 2017, slashing .355/.439/.820 across 253 plate appearances (his total season line was .303/.376/.690).

In the visiting dugout, Kansas City’s pitching staff allowed 5.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.72 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 6.99 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 6.42, along with a K-per-9 of 6.32.

The Royals offense has slashed .243/.316/.366 on its way to 3.4 runs scored per game this season, including 3.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Third baseman Mike Moustakas and right fielder Jorge Soler have led Kansas City’s offense. Moustakas is slashing .302/.336/.578 with eight home runs, 19 RBIs and 18 runs scored, while Soler (.304/.434/.456) has produced two homers, six RBIs and eight runs scored.

Maintaining a slash line of .80/.193/.120 across 57 plate appearances, Soler taken a step back when hitting in road games in 2017 (his total season line was .144/.245/.258).

Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Royals, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The Royals have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit eight over their last 10.

Kansas City has posted 21.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.4 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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