Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox Free Pick 08/17/18

The Chicago White Sox are set to host their division nemesis Kansas City Royals at Guaranteed Rate Field. The matchup will get underway at 8:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to WGN to catch the game.

Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox Odds

Vegas has listed Kansas City (+110) as the underdog to Chicago (-120). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -110 for over nine runs and -110 for under nine. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at -190 for the Royals +1.5 runs and +165 for the White Sox -1.5.

The Royals are 37-84 SU and are 55-65 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 32.7 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 19.9 units ATS. Kansas City has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The White Sox, on the other hand, are 44-76 SU and 60-60 ATS. The team has lost 18.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.6 units ATS. Chicago has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Chicago games have an over/under record of 57-57-6 in 2018. The Royals have been a decent under bet with a total record of 52-61-7.

Right-hander Jakob Junis is projected to start for the visiting Royals. Junis is 6-11 with a 4.82 ERA and 122 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 10 strikeouts and a 7.94 ERA against Chicago this year (two starts).

The White Sox are putting the ball in the hands of righty James Shields (4-14, 4.41 ERA), who’s got 122 strikeouts and 60 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.29. Shields is 2-1 with 15 strikeouts and a 4.58 ERA over three starts against Kansas City this year.

Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 5.4 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have a 5.12 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 6.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.68 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 50 divisional games, White Sox starters have an ERA of 4.62 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.57.

Chicago’s offense has put up 4.1 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .246/.283/.429 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

First baseman Jose Abreu and third baseman Yolmer Sanchez have led the White Sox offense this year. Abreu is slashing .268/.327/.484 with 21 home runs, 73 RBIs and 64 runs scored, while Sanchez is hitting .247 with seven homers, 45 RBIs, 43 runs and 10 stolen bases.

For the visitors, Kansas City’s pitchers have allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starters own a 5.34 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 7.35 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.23, along with a K/9 of 7.13.

The Royals offense has slashed .241/.305/.374 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game this season, including 4.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Second baseman Whit Merrifield and third baseman Mike Moustakas continue to lead Kansas City’s hitters. The speedy Merrifield is slashing .300/.368/.417 with seven home runs, 39 RBIs, 56 runs and 26 steals. Moustakas (.249/.309/.468) has produced 20 homers, 62 RBIs and 46 runs scored.

The Royals have lost 28.3 units and are 33-47 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 38 of those games, as opposed to 37 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the White Sox have lost 9.5 units and are 46-45 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 44 of those games, as opposed to 42 that’ve cashed the under.

Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – White Sox, ATS Winner – Royals, O/U – OVER

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Betting Trends

Kansas City has recorded 16 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Chicago has 15 XBH over its last five.

The Royals have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.

Kansas City fielders have zero errors over the last 10 games, compared to eight errors for Chicago over its last 10.


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