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Los Angeles Angels at Detroit Tigers Free Pick 05/28/18

Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Angels will pay a visit to Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers. This AL matchup will get underway at 1:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports West will broadcast the game.

Los Angeles Angels at Detroit Tigers Odds

Detroit (+140) is the underdog against Los Angeles (-150) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at nine runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at Angels -1.5 runs (-105) and Tigers +1.5 runs (-115).

The Angels are 29-24 SU and are 26-26 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 4.0 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 0.4 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 23-29 SU and 29-22 ATS. The team has lost 0.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 3.0 units ATS. Detroit has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Tigers games have had an over/under record of 22-27-2 so far in 2018. Los Angeles has an over/under record of 24-25-3.

Southpaw Tyler Skaggs is getting the nod for Los Angeles. Skaggs is 3-3 with a 3.11 ERA and 59 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Tigers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Tigers are sending lefty Matthew Boyd (2-4, 3.29 ERA) to the mound. Boyd has 41 strikeouts and 17 walks to his name, as well as a 1.08 WHIP. Boyd did not record a start against the Angels in 2017.

Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.70 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.19 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.55, along with a WHIP of 1.25 and a K/9 of 9.15.

Angels hitters have slashed .247/.325/.417 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Los Angeles’ hitters have been led by shortstop Andrelton Simmons and right fielder Mike Trout, who have combined to blast 21 home runs. Simmons is slashing .332/.396/.474 with four home runs, 31 RBIs, 31 runs and five stolen bases, while Trout (.306/.453/.672) has produced 17 homers, 34 RBIs, 45 runs and 12 stolen bases.

Trout didn’t do as well hitting against left-handed pitchers in 2017, putting up a slash line of .280/.443/.463 across 106 plate appearances (his total season line was .306/.442/.629).

In the home-team dugout, Detroit’s pitchers have given up 4.7 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.20, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.2. The bullpen has a 4.56 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 8.3 K/9.

The Detroit hitters have produced 4.2 runs per contest, including 2.9 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .258/.313/.374 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and third baseman Jeimer Candelario have led the Tigers’ batters this year. Castellanos is slashing .323/.368/.503 with five home runs, 28 RBIs and 27 runs scored, and Candelario’s line is .272/.361/.519 with seven homers, 20 RBIs and 24 runs scored.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .272/.320/.490, Castellanos didn’t do very well against lefty pitching at home last year, slashing .236/.288/.418 over 59 such plate appearances.

The Angels have lost 2.0 units and are 4-7 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in five of those games, as opposed to six that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Tigers have netted 1.0 units and are 8-5 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in nine of those games, as opposed to four which went under the total.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Angels, ATS Winner – Angels, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The Tigers have won three of their last four games SU.

Los Angeles has posted 17.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.0 over its last five.

The Angels have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.

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