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Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros Free Preview 09/23/18

Erik Williams-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Angels will be taking on their divisional rival Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park. The game gets underway 2:10 p.m. ET and ATTSN Southwest will televise the matchup.

Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros Odds

Vegas is listing Houston (-220) as the favorite over Los Angeles (+200). Bettors are able to gamble on the game’s total with odds sitting at -120 for over 8 runs and even money (+100) for under 8. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds coming in at Angels +1.5 runs (-110) and Astros -1.5 runs (-110).

The Angels have gone 75-80 SU this year and are 70-84 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 10.5 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 25.1 units ATS. The Astros, on the other hand, are 97-57 SU and 78-75 ATS. They’ve lost 6.3 units for moneyline bettors and 4.8 units ATS.

Houston games have a 69-77-7 over/under record in 2018. Los Angeles has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 69-76-9.

Tyler Skaggs will get the start for Los Angeles. The southpaw Skaggs (8-8, 3.69 ERA) has racked up 126 punchouts in 119.2 innings so far. He’s 1-1 with four strikeouts and a 2.08 ERA against Houston this year (two starts).

The Astros will put the ball in the right hand of Charlie Morton (15-3, 3.15 ERA, 1.17 WHIP), who has 195 strikeouts and 63 walks. Morton is 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA in one start against Los Angeles this year.

Los Angeles’ pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.34 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 8.73 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.99, along with a WHIP of 1.31 and a K/9 of 8.50.

The Angels offense has slashed .244/.316/.414 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 4.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Shortstop Andrelton Simmons and outfielder Mike Trout continue to lead Los Angeles’ offense. Simmons is slashing .298/.341/.426 with 11 home runs, 74 RBIs and 66 runs scored, while Trout has a .316 average with 38 homers, 77 RBIs, 98 runs and 24 steals.

For the home team, Houston’s pitching staff has allowed 3.3 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.17, a WHIP of 1.12 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.4. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.11, a WHIP of 1.08 and a K/9 of 10.7. In 75 games against AL West foes, Astros starters have an ERA of 3.45 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.72.

The Houston offense has put up 5.0 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .241/.326/.373 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Astros’ batters have been led by third baseman Alex Bregman and second baseman Jose Altuve. Bregman is slashing .289/.398/.538 with 30 home runs, 100 RBIs and 102 runs scored, while Altuve’s line sits at .317/.388/.458 with 13 homers, 60 RBIs, 82 runs and 17 steals.

The Angels have gained 2.6 units and are 50-55 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 52 of those games, compared to 48 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Astros have lost 8.1 units and are 28-31 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in 27 of those games, compared to 30 that went under the total.

Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Angels, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has cashed in three of Houston’s last seven games.

Houston has posted 22.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.0 over its last five.

The Angels have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Astros have hit 10 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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