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Los Angeles Angels at New York Yankees Free Pick 05/26/18

Peter G. Aiken/USA TODAY Sports

The New York Yankees will play host to the Los Angeles Angels at Yankee Stadium. This AL matchup will be nationally broadcasted on Fox and the game gets underway 7:15 p.m. ET.

Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees Odds

The Angels are 28-23 SU and have gone 24-26 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 3.5 units for moneyline bettors in this young season, despite having lost 1.6 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 32-15 SU and 25-21 ATS. The team has gained 7.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.3 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

New York games have a 27-17-2 over/under record so far in 2018. The Angels have an over/under record of 23-24-3.

Jaime Barria is getting the nod for the visiting Angels. The right-handed Barria is 3-1 with a 2.13 ERA and 20 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Yankees this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Yankees are turning to righty Sonny Gray (3-3, 5.48 ERA), who’s got 37 strikeouts and 25 walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.63. Gray did not record a start against the Angels in 2017.

New York’s pitching staff has yielded 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.44 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 12.5 K/9.

New York’s hitters are putting up 5.9 runs per contest, including 6.4 per game over its last 10 games and 7.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .283/.347/.641 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Yankees’ offense has been led by Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton. Judge is slashing .279/.409/.559 with 13 home runs, 38 RBIs and 37 runs scored, while Stanton is batting .257 with 11 homers, 28 RBIs and 34 runs.

Judge performed well against righty pitching at home last year, slashing .318/.424/.771 in 257 such plate appearances (his total season line was .284/.422/.627).

For the visiting squad, Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.56 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.21 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.73, along with a WHIP of 1.23 and a K/9 of 9.14.

Angels hitters have slashed .248/.324/.417 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Los Angeles’ hitters have been powered by shortstop Andrelton Simmons and right fielder Mike Trout. Simmons is slashing .330/.399/.462 with three home runs, 29 RBIs, 30 runs and five steals, while Trout (.293/.449/.644) has produced 16 homers, 30 RBIs, 42 runs and 12 steals.

The Angels have gained 5.5 units and are 20-19 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 18 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Yankees have netted 2.6 units and are 16-14 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 20 of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under.

Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Angels, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The Angels have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Yankees have hit 28 over their last 10.

Los Angeles has posted 15.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.4 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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