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Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners Free Pick 07/05/18

Lindsey Wasson-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Angels will be taking on their division rival Seattle Mariners at Safeco Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET and the action will be shown on both RTNW and FSW.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Los Angeles (+100) as the underdog to Seattle (-110). The total is sitting at 8.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for even money (+100) and the under for -120. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at -210 for the Angels +1.5 runs and +175 for the Mariners -1.5.

The Mariners are 55-32 straight up (SU) and 45-41 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 22.1 units for moneyline bettors and 1.9 units (ATS). Seattle has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Angels have gone 44-43 SU this year and are 36-50 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 7.9 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 21.4 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Mariners games have an over/under record of 42-43-1 so far in 2018. Los Angeles has an over/under record of 37-42-7.

Jaime Barria is getting the nod for Los Angeles. The right-handed Barria is 5-4 with a 3.40 ERA and 46 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with two strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA against Seattle this year.

The Mariners are handing the ball to lefty Marco Gonzales (8-5, 3.77 ERA), who has 87 strikeouts and 20 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.23. Gonzales is 0-0 with 14 strikeouts and a 5.73 ERA over two starts against Los Angeles this year.

Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.83 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.15 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.98, along with a WHIP of 1.28.

The Angels offense has slashed .245/.319/.415 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Los Angeles’ offense has been sparked by right fielder Mike Trout and shortstop Andrelton Simmons, who’ve collectively launched 30 home runs. Trout is hitting .310/.456/.627 with 24 home runs, 49 RBIs, 67 runs and 13 stolen bases. Simmons (.316/.375/.447) has produced six homers, 39 RBIs and 42 runs scored.

For the home team, Seattle’s pitching staff has given up 4.1 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 3.96 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.80 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 32 games against divisional foes, Mariners starters have an ERA of 3.95 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.33.

The Seattle hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .255/.298/.422 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Jean Segura and outfielder Dee Gordon have led the Mariners’ hitters this year. Segura is hitting .330/.360/.468 with six home runs, 45 RBIs, 60 runs and 14 steals, while Gordon’s line is .280/.301/.342 with 90 hits, 20 RBIs, 38 runs and 22 stolen bases.

The Angels have lost 12.7 units and are 5-16 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to 10 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 21.8 units and are 30-28 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 31 of those games, compared to 27 that went under.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Angels, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has cashed in only one of Los Angeles’ last seven games.

Los Angeles has posted 19.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.8 over its last five.

The Angels have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mariners have hit 11 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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