The Milwaukee Bucks (37-33) go head-to-head against the Los Angeles Clippers (37-33) at BMO Harris Bradley Center. The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 21, 2018, and will air on Fox Sports Net Wisconsin.
Los Angeles Clippers at Milwaukee Bucks Betting Prediction
The Clippers are hoping for a better outcome after their 123-109 loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last matchup. Minnesota’s 0.581 effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over Los Angeles, who had a mark of 0.473. The Timberwolves’ mark was above their season average of 0.527, while the Clippers’ was below their season average of 0.528. DeAndre Jordan was Los Angeles’ leading scorer with 18 points on 9-for-11 shooting.
The last time the Bucks played, they lost to the Cleveland Cavaliers, 124-117. Cleveland’s offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over Milwaukee. The Cavaliers had a rate of 33.3 (above their season average of 19.5), while the Bucks posted a mark of 21.1. With 37 points on 13-for-20 shooting, Giannis Antetokounmpo was Milwaukee’s leading scorer.
The physical Milwaukee offense seems poised to dominate from the charity stripe. The Bucks currently rank third in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.227, while Los Angeles ranks 23rd in FTA rate allowed (0.209).
Los Angeles holds records of 37-33 straight up (SU) and 37-31-1 against the spread (ATS). Of the Clippers’ 69 games with betting action, 37 have finished over the total.
Meanwhile, Milwaukee is 37-33 SU and 28-37-5 ATS. Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the total of Bucks games, with 36 overs compared to 32 unders.
After the Bucks won both games against the Clippers last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent game, Milwaukee won 97-96. The Bucks’ 11.2 turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Clippers, who had a mark of 14.6.
Los Angeles Clippers at Milwaukee Bucks ATS Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
Los Angeles is 21-12-1 ATS on the road with 17 overs and 17 unders.
At home, Milwaukee is 11-22-3 ATS with 18 overs, 17 unders and 1 push.
Los Angeles is 11-2 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Milwaukee is 16-5.
When scoring above 100 points, the Bucks are 31-17 and the Clippers are 35-22.
Milwaukee ranks second in fast break points allowed per game (9.6) while Los Angeles ranks last (15.0).
The Clippers rank seventh in second chance points per game (13.4) while the Bucks rank last (10.3).
Milwaukee averages 8.6 steals per game, which ranks fourth in the league. Los Angeles ranks 25th in steals allowed per game (8.5).
The Bucks rank fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.3) while the Clippers rank 25th (5.4).
Los Angeles ranks third in points in the paint per game (51.3) while Milwaukee ranks 21st in points allowed in the paint per game (46.3).
The Clippers rank 13th in rebounds per game (43.9) while the Bucks rank 28th (39.5).
Milwaukee ranks fifth in points off turnovers per game (17.8) while Los Angeles ranks 19th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.1).
The Clippers rank 19th in three pointers attempted per game (27.9) while the Bucks rank 25th (24.6).
Milwaukee averages 22.7 assists per game, which ranks 17th in the NBA. Los Angeles ranks 22nd in assists allowed per game (24.2).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS with 5 overs over their last five games.
The Clippers have been outscored by an average of 6.8 points in their last five games. On the season, Los Angeles has defeated opponents by an average of 0.8 points.
During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 119.4 points per game (13.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 116.4 points per game (10.4 above their season average).
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