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Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks Free Pick 09/26/18

Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Dodgers will be facing off against their divisional rival Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. The matchup will begin at 9:40 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Arizona to catch the action.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Los Angeles (-115) as the favorite over Arizona (+105). The total is sitting at 7.5 runs and gamblers can take the over for -120 or the under for even money (+100). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds coming in at Dodgers -1.5 runs (+130) and Diamondbacks +1.5 runs (-150).

The Dodgers are 88-70 SU and are 71-86 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 22.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 15.4 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 80-78 SU and 76-81 ATS. They’ve lost 12.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.5 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Diamondbacks games have had an over/under record of 72-79-6 in 2018. Los Angeles has an over/under record of 74-75-8.

The right-handed Ross Stripling will get the start for Los Angeles. Stripling (8-5, 2.84 ERA) has recorded 134 strikeouts in 120.1 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with eight strikeouts and a 4.35 ERA against Arizona this year.

The Diamondbacks will put the ball in the right hand of Zack Greinke (14-11, 3.21 ERA, 1.06 WHIP), who has 193 strikeouts and 41 walks. Greinke is 2-1 with 22 strikeouts and a 4.12 ERA across three starts against Los Angeles this year.

Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.19 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 9.55 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.72, along with a WHIP of 1.12 and a K-per-9 of 9.64.

The Dodgers offense has slashed .248/.333/.438 on its way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Los Angeles’ offensive production has been fueled by first baseman Cody Bellinger and right fielder Chris Taylor. Bellinger is slashing .259/.343/.470 with 24 home runs, 72 RBIs and 83 runs scored, while Taylor (.254/.331/.447) is up to 17 homers, 62 RBIs and 81 runs scored.

For the home team, Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 3.81, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.3. The bullpen has a 3.64 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 72 games against divisional opponents, Diamondbacks starters have an ERA of 3.96 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.27.

The Arizona hitters are putting up 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .205/.247/.354 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Paul Goldschmidt and outfielder David Peralta have led the charge for the Diamondbacks’ offense this year. Goldschmidt is hitting .291/.391/.540 with 33 home runs, 83 RBIs and 94 runs scored, and Peralta’s line sits at .296/.354/.519 with 29 homers, 86 RBIs and 74 runs.

The Dodgers have lost 18.8 units and are 40-54 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 52 of those games, compared to 39 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have lost 9.2 units and are 50-51 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 47 of those games, compared to 51 that went under the total.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Los Angeles has recorded 22 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Arizona has 13 XBH over its last five.

Los Angeles has recorded 25.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 28.0 over its last five.

The Dodgers have hit 20 home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit 14 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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