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Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets Free Pick 06/22/18

Mets vs Diamondbacks
Andy Marlin-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Dodgers will head east to Citi Field to face off against the New York Mets. SportsNet New York is in line to broadcast this NL matchup and the game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets Odds

New York (+135) is coming into this one as the underdog against Los Angeles (-145) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at eight runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -110 for the over and -110 for the under. The game’s most recent runline odds stand at +100 for taking the Dodgers -1.5 runs and -120 for the Mets +1.5 runs.

SEC, Heisman Trophy, Jarrett Stidham, Auburn, Georgia

The Dodgers have gone 38-35 SU this year and are 32-41 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 18.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 8.9 units ATS. The Mets, on the other hand, are 31-41 SU and 31-39 ATS. The team’s lost 11.3 units for moneyline bettors and 12.3 units ATS.

Mets games have an over/under record of 30-38-2 so far in 2018. The Dodgers have an over/under record of 36-35-2.

Alex Wood will get the nod for the visiting Dodgers. The southpaw Wood is 2-5 with a 4.22 ERA and 68 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Mets are turning to righty Zack Wheeler (2-5, 4.82 ERA), who’s got 72 strikeouts and 28 walks as well as a 1.39 WHIP. Wheeler only made one start against the Dodgers in 2017 (0-1, 31.50 ERA and two strikeouts across two innings).

Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.50 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 9.62 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.71, along with a WHIP of 1.17 and a K-per-9 of 9.09.

The Dodgers offense has slashed .241/.324/.421 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 1.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Los Angeles’ hitters have been paced by outfielders Matt Kemp and Chris Taylor, who have combined to drive in 70 runs. Kemp is hitting .322/.358/.551 with 12 home runs, 43 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Taylor has a .249 average with eight homers, 27 RBIs and 46 runs scored.

For the home team, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 3.99, a WHIP of 1.29 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.4. The bullpen has a 4.57 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 9.0 K/9.

The New York offense has put up 4.0 runs per contest, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 7.4 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .326/.419/.543 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have led the charge for the Mets’ hitters this year. Cabrera is slashing .277/.320/.478 with 12 home runs, 41 RBIs and 34 runs scored, while Rosario’s line is .249/.276/.369 with four homers, 21 RBIs and 28 runs scored.

The Dodgers have lost 21.1 units and are 18-29 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 31 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 1.7 units and are 10-9 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in eight of those games, compared to 11 which went under the total.

Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has hit in four of New York’s last seven games.

The Dodgers have dropped three of their last four games SU.

Los Angeles fielders have committed two errors over their last five games, compared to five errors for New York over its last five.

The Dodgers have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 12 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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