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Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview 07/23/18

Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

The Philadelphia Phillies are playing host to the Los Angeles Dodgers at Citizens Bank Park. This NL matchup will get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to NBC Sports Philadelphia.

Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Vegas is listing Philadelphia (+135) as the underdog to Los Angeles (-145). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -115 for over 8.5 runs and -105 for under 8.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at +100 for the Dodgers -1.5 runs and -120 for the Phillies +1.5.

The Dodgers are 55-44 SU and have gone 44-54 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 16.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 9.7 units ATS. Los Angeles is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 55-43 SU and 43-53 ATS. The team’s gained 11.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 17.9 units ATS. Philadelphia has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has cashed in three of those seven.

Philadelphia games have had an over/under record of 41-50-5 so far in 2018. Los Angeles has an over/under record of 48-47-3.

The right-handed Ross Stripling will get the start for the visiting Dodgers. Stripling is 8-2 with a 2.08 ERA and 108 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA against Philadelphia this year.

The Phillies will put the ball in the right hand of Zach Eflin (7-2, 3.15 ERA), who has 67 punchouts and 14 walks as well as a 1.08 WHIP. Eflin is 0-1 with five strikeouts and an 11.25 ERA in one start against Los Angeles this year.

Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.75, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 4.02 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.

The Philadelphia offense is putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.0 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .232/.319/.348 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Phillies’ offense has been led by right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is hitting .280/.331/.467 with 17 home runs, 55 RBIs and 49 runs scored, and Hernandez is hitting .271 with eight homers, 33 RBIs, 65 runs and 14 stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.27 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 9.56 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.79, along with a WHIP of 1.15.

Dodgers hitters have slashed .247/.329/.431 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Outfielders Matt Kemp and Chris Taylor continue to lead Los Angeles’ hitters. Kemp is slashing .316/.358/.542 with 17 home runs, 62 RBIs and 47 runs scored, while Taylor (.255/.330/.452) is up to 11 homers, 47 RBIs and 58 runs scored.

The Dodgers have lost 12.6 units and are 28-35 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 38 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 8.8 units and are 32-41 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 30 of those games, compared to 39 that’ve cashed the under.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The under has hit in three of Philadelphia’s last seven games.

Each team has hit eight home runs over its last 10 games.

Philadelphia has recorded 20.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.8 over its last five.

The Dodgers have won three of their last four games SU.

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Written by GMS Previews

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