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Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies Free Pick 07/25/18

Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports

The Philadelphia Phillies will play host to the Los Angeles Dodgers at Citizens Bank Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 12:35 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Philadelphia will be televising this NL showdown.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Los Angeles (-130) is entering this game as the favorite against Philadelphia (+120) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this day game at 8.5 runs (-115 for the under and -105 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds coming in at Dodgers -1.5 runs (+115) and Phillies +1.5 runs (-135).

The Phillies are 56-44 straight up (SU) and 45-54 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 10.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 16.9 units (ATS). Philadelphia has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Dodgers are 56-45 SU and have gone 45-55 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 14.2 units for moneyline bettors and 9.5 units ATS. Los Angeles is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Phillies games have an over/under record of 43-51-5 in 2018. Los Angeles has an over/under record of 50-47-3.

The right-handed Walker Buehler is getting the start for Los Angeles. Buehler is 4-2 with a 3.45 ERA and 59 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Phillies will put the ball in the right hand of Jake Arrieta (7-6, 3.47 ERA), who has 74 strikeouts and 36 walks this season as well as a 1.27 WHIP. Arrieta is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Los Angeles this year.

Philadelphia’s pitchers have given up 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.79, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 3.95 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.

The Philadelphia offense is putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .234/.307/.443 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Phillies’ hitters have been led by right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is slashing .278/.329/.468 with 18 home runs, 56 RBIs and 50 runs scored, while Hernandez is batting .265 with eight homers, 33 RBIs, 65 runs and 14 stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, Los Angeles’ pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.35 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 9.57 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.76, along with a K/9 of 9.43.

Dodgers hitters have slashed .246/.328/.432 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game this season, including 4.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Outfielders Matt Kemp and Chris Taylor continue to lead Los Angeles’ hitters. Kemp is slashing .317/.360/.540 with 17 home runs, 63 RBIs and 47 runs scored, while Taylor is hitting .256/.331/.461 with 12 homers, 48 RBIs and 59 runs scored.

The Dodgers have lost 11.6 units and are 28-36 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 39 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 7.3 units and are 34-42 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 32 of those games, compared to 40 that went under.

Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – OVER

Click Here to Start Betting Today!

Notes

Betting Trends

The over has hit in four of Los Angeles’ last seven contests.

Both teams have launched 13 home runs over their last 10 outings.

Philadelphia has recorded 21.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.2 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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