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Los Angeles Dodgers at Seattle Mariners Free Pick 08/19/18

Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Dodgers will be taking on the Seattle Mariners at Safeco Field. The game gets going at 4:10 p.m. ET and this interleague showdown will be televised on RTNW and SNLA.

Los Angeles Dodgers at Seattle Mariners Odds

The Dodgers have gone 66-58 SU this year and are 54-69 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 23.4 units for moneyline bettors and 14.7 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Mariners, on the other hand, are 71-53 SU and 61-62 ATS. They’ve gained 12.1 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 5.5 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Mariners games have an over/under record of 59-62-2 in 2018. Los Angeles has an over/under record of 58-61-4.

The southpaw Clayton Kershaw is the probable starter for the visiting Dodgers. Kershaw is 5-5 with a 2.47 ERA and 108 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mariners this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Mariners will put the ball in the left hand of Roenis Elias (2-0, 2.88 ERA), who has 18 punchouts and eight walks this season as well as a 1.24 WHIP. Elias did not record a start against the Dodgers in 2017.

Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.25 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 9.39 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.93, along with a WHIP of 1.13.

Dodgers hitters have slashed .243/.327/.429 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

First baseman Cody Bellinger and outfielder Chris Taylor continue to lead Los Angeles’ hitters. Bellinger is slashing .259/.346/.472 with 20 home runs, 57 RBIs and 69 runs scored, while Taylor is hitting .248 with 13 homers, 53 RBIs and 66 runs scored.

For the home team, Seattle’s pitchers have given up 4.4 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.23, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 3.97 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.

The Seattle hitters have put up 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .228/.287/.328 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Mariners’ hitters have been led by shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Dee Gordon. Segura is hitting .314/.343/.437 with nine home runs, 56 RBIs, 78 runs and 17 steals, while Gordon’s line is .273/.294/.339 with 124 hits, 24 RBIs, 54 runs and 27 stolen bases.

The Dodgers have lost 6.0 units and are 21-25 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 13 of those games, as opposed to 31 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mariners have lost 4.9 units and are 20-20 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in 15 of those games, compared to 24 that went under.

Los Angeles Dodgers at Seattle Mariners Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has cashed in only one of Los Angeles’ last seven outings.

Los Angeles fielders have 10 errors over the last 10 games, compared to three errors for Seattle over its last 10.

The Dodgers have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.

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