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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Boston Red Sox Free Preview 10/23/18

David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Dodgers will be taking on the Boston Red Sox in Game 1 of the World Series. The series officially gets underway at 8:09 p.m. ET and this opening game will be nationally televised on Fox.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Boston Red Sox Odds

Los Angeles (+130) is the underdog against Boston (-140) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). The game’s current runline odds stand at -170 for picking the Dodgers +1.5 runs and +150 for the Red Sox -1.5 runs.

Including the regular season, the Dodgers have gone 99-75 SU this year and are 80-94 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 20.6 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 14.7 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 115-56 SU and 100-71 ATS. They’ve gained 38.7 units for moneyline bettors and 26.2 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.

Boston games have an 83-80-8 over/under record in 2018. Los Angeles has an over/under record of 80-83-11.

Clayton Kershaw is getting the nod for the visiting Dodgers. The southpaw Kershaw is 9-5 with a 2.73 ERA and 155 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Red Sox are handing the ball to lefty Chris Sale (12-4, 2.11 ERA), who has 237 strikeouts and 34 walks, as well as a WHIP of 0.86. Sale did not record a start against the Dodgers in 2017.

Behind a team slash line of .218/.324/.367, Los Angeles has averaged 3.9 runs scored through 11 playoff outings. Boston is hitting .253/.344/.404 through nine games and the team has managed 6.2 runs in the 2018 playoffs.

The Red Sox bullpen (11.0 K/9) has registered a postseason ERA of 3.62 and a WHIP of 1.37, while Dodgers relievers (8.4 K/9) have fared noticeably better with a 1.30 ERA and 0.96 WHIP.

Los Angeles’ offensive production has been fueled by first baseman Cody Bellinger and outfielder Chris Taylor. Bellinger is slashing .253/.337/.457 with 26 home runs, 80 RBIs, 88 runs and 18 stolen bases. Taylor (.258/.338/.451) has produced 18 homers, 66 RBIs and 91 runs scored.

J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts have led the Red Sox batters this year. Martinez is slashing .329/.403/.624 with 45 home runs, 139 RBIs and 115 runs scored, while Betts has produced a line of .336/.429/.615 with 32 homers, 83 RBIs, 137 runs and 30 stolen bases.

The Dodgers have lost 2.7 units and are 34-37 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 26 of those games, compared to 39 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 3.4 units and are 21-19 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 19 of those games, as opposed to 19 which went under the total.

Los Angeles Dodgers at Boston Red Sox MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has cashed in only two of Los Angeles’ last seven outings.

The Dodgers have an OPS of .771 this season, including an OPS of .654 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS stands at .792 overall and .767 against southpaws.

The Dodgers have won three of their last four games SU while the Red Sox have taken six of their last seven.

Boston has posted 25.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.8 over its last five.

The Dodgers have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 11 over their last 10.

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