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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs Free Pick 06/19/18

Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Dodgers are set to face off against the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field in Game 1 of a doubleheader. The game gets underway 1:05 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Chicago will broadcast this NL showdown.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs Odds

Los Angeles (-110) is the favorite against Chicago (+100) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -105 for the under and -115 for the over. The game’s runline odds stand at +135 for taking the Dodgers -1.5 runs and -155 for the Cubs +1.5 runs.

The Dodgers are 37-33 SU and are 31-39 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 17.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.0 units ATS. Los Angeles is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Cubs, on the other hand, are 40-28 SU and 35-33 ATS. The team’s lost 1.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 3.3 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Chicago games have a 28-39-1 over/under record so far in 2018. Dodgers games have gone over 36 times, gone under 32 times and pushed on two occasions.

Kenta Maeda is getting the nod for the visiting Dodgers. The right-handed Maeda (4-4, 3.61 ERA) has racked up 69 strikeouts in 57.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Cubs this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Cubs are turning to righty Tyler Chatwood (3-5, 4.12 ERA), who has 58 strikeouts and 58 walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.75. Chatwood made three starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 1-3 record in 2017, putting together a 1-3 record with a 6.75 ERA.

Chicago’s pitchers have given up 3.6 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starters have a 3.52 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.72, a WHIP of 1.23 and a K/9 of 9.3.

The Chicago offense has produced 5.0 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .220/.319/.348 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Third baseman Kris Bryant and left fielder Albert Almora Jr. have led the Cubs’ batters this year. Bryant is hitting .281/.389/.483 with nine home runs, 33 RBIs and 38 runs scored, while Almora Jr.’s line is .325/.372/.440 with 65 hits, 19 RBIs and 38 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Los Angeles’ pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.50 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 9.66 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.75, along with a K/9 of 9.01.

Dodgers hitters have slashed .243/.323/.424 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game this year, including 5.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Outfielders Matt Kemp and Chris Taylor continue to lead Los Angeles’ hitters. Kemp is slashing .338/.374/.579 with 12 home runs, 43 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Taylor is hitting .244/.332/.436 with eight homers, 27 RBIs and 45 runs scored.

The Dodgers have lost 22.1 units and are 18-28 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 31 of those games, as opposed to 14 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Cubs have lost 4.0 units and are 27-27 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 22 of those games, as opposed to 31 that’ve cashed the under.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has cashed in three of Chicago’s last seven games.

Los Angeles has recorded 22.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.6 over its last five.

The Dodgers have hit 22 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit seven over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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