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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Free Pick 06/07/18

Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Dodgers will be taking on the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park. This NL matchup will begin at 12:35 p.m. ET and Spectrum SportsNet LA is in line to showcase the game.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Odds

Vegas is listing Los Angeles (+110) as the underdog to Pittsburgh (-120). The total sits at 8 runs and gamblers can wager on the over for -120 or the under for an even +100. The game’s runline odds stand at -190 for taking the Dodgers +1.5 runs and +165 for the Pirates -1.5 runs.

The Dodgers are 30-31 SU and have gone 26-34 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 20.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 8.8 units ATS. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 31-30 SU and 27-33 ATS. The team’s lost 2.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.4 units ATS.

Neither team has established itself as an obvious over/under play this season. Pittsburgh games have an over/under record of 28-26-6 so far in 2018. Los Angeles has an over/under record of 30-28-2.

Right-hander Dennis Santana will get the start for the visiting Dodgers. Santana is 1-0 with a 12.27 ERA and four strikeouts. He has yet to face the Pirates this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Pirates are turning to righty Jameson Taillon (3-4, 3.97 ERA), who’s got 60 strikeouts and 18 walks as well as a 1.16 WHIP. Taillon only made one start against the Dodgers in 2017 (0-0, 9.00 ERA across five innings).

Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.55 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 10.00 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.95, along with a WHIP of 1.18.

The Dodgers offense has slashed .241/.322/.410 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 6.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 9.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Outfielders Matt Kemp and Chris Taylor have paced Los Angeles’ hitters. Kemp is slashing .353/.384/.599 with 10 home runs, 39 RBIs and 27 runs scored, while Taylor (.252/.342/.462) has produced eight homers, 26 RBIs and 43 runs scored.

For the home team, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 4.18, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has a 4.32 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.

The Pittsburgh offense is putting up 4.6 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .209/.298/.310 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte have led the Pirates’ offense this year. Dickerson is slashing .324/.359/.495 with five home runs, 32 RBIs and 30 runs scored, while Marte’s line is .294/.349/.477 with seven homers, 24 RBIs, 32 runs and 12 stolen bases.

The Dodgers have lost 20.7 units and are 15-25 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 26 of those games, as opposed to 13 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Pirates have lost 1.4 units and are 23-25 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 19 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve gone under.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The over has hit in only two of Pittsburgh’s last seven games.

Pittsburgh has recorded 18.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 16.6 over its last five.

The Dodgers have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games, including 14 over their last five.

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