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Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans Saints: Free Week 9 Betting Pick

Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Rams and New Orleans Saints are ready to do battle on the dome of the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. FOX has the TV rights and kickoff will take place at 4:25 p.m. ET.

 Los Angeles Rams           +1           -105       ov 60
New Orleans Saints         -1            -115       un 60

Odds Provided by BetDSI.eu

Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans Saints Betting Preview

In what has potential to be a NFC playoff preview, New Orleans has been tabbed as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 1 point. The Rams are also receiving -105 moneyline odds while the Saints are -115. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 60 points, and should one team gets out in front in the early stages, it will likely create a worthy betting opportunity in-game.

The game’s total was originally placed at 59, but early action has swayed toward the over.

Both of these teams have been profitable this season as the Rams have gained 8.0 units while the Saints are up 1.6 units.

The Rams have gone 8-0 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Saints are 6-1 SU.

When these two squads faced one another last year, Los Angeles won by a pair of field goals 26-20.

The Rams are looking to stay unbeaten following a 29-27 victory over Green Bay last week where Jared Goff completed just 19-of-35 passes for 295 yards and three touchdowns. Todd Gurley II (114 yards on 25 rush attempts) led the ground attack. Gurley II (six receptions, 81 yards, one TD) and Robert Woods (five catches, 70 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

New Orleans is coming off of a 30-20 win over Minnesota last week. Drew Brees completed 18-of-23 passes for 120 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Alvin Kamara carved up the opposing defense in the win. In addition to 45 yards on 13 rush attempts (and one TD), Kamara also reeled in seven catches for 31 yards and a score.

Los Angeles has run the ball on 49.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while New Orleans has a rush percentage of 44.2 percent. The Rams have rushed for 151 yards per game and have 11 scores on the ground this year. The Saints are putting up 108 rush yards per game and have 12 total rushing TDs.

The Rams offensive scheme has logged 305 yards/contest through the air overall and has 17 passing scores so far. The Saints have produced 292 pass yards per outing and have 14 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Los Angeles appears to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 101 rush yards and 252 pass yards per game. The New Orleans D has allowed 315.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 74.1 yards per game to opposing runners. The Rams are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.14 to opposing QBs, while the Saints have given up an 8.36 ANY/A.

Passing-wise, Goff is already up to 2,223 yards this season. The signal-caller has connected on 153-of-229 attempts with 15 passing scores and five interceptions. He has a sparkling 9.00 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 8.65 over the last two outings.

Todd Gurley II (737 rushing yards, nine rush TDs, 328 receiving yards, three receiving touchdowns this season), Robert Woods (594 receiving yards, three receiving TDs) and Brandin Cooks (579 receiving yards, one TD) have each played big roles lately.

Drew Brees has connected on 166-of-213 passes for 1,778 yards, 12 TDs and one INT for New Orleans. His ANY/A sits at 8.64 for the year and 6.30 over his last two games.

We’re thinking the Saints will control tempo by feeding their running backs early and often. Along with WR Michael Thomas (600 receiving yards, three receiving TDs this season), Alvin Kamara (344 rush yards, six rush TDs, 382 receiving yards, two receiving TDs) and Mark Ingram (116 rush yards, two rush TDs, 49 receiving yards) have delivered significant production to the Saints’ recent offensive gameplans.

RELATED: Week 9 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions 

Free NFL Tip: Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans Saints

SU Winner – Saints, ATS Winner – Rams, O/U – Over

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Notes

Betting Notes

The Rams offense has produced six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Saints have put up three such plays.

The Los Angeles defense has allowed eight pass plays of 40+ yards, while New Orleans has given up seven such plays.

The Los Angeles offense has created seven rushing plays of 20+ yards, while New Orleans has created two such runs.

The Rams defense has allowed six rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Saints have given up two such runs.

The Los Angeles defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 22 times this season. New Orleans has produced 17 sacks.

As a team, Los Angeles has rushed for 5.1 yards per attempt over its last three contests and 4.0 over its last two.

New Orleans has averaged 3.4 yards per carry over its last three games and 3.5 over its past two.

In its last three matches, New Orleans is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Los Angeles’ last game going into it was 57. The under cashed in the team’s 29-27 victory over Green Bay.

Over its last three matches, Los Angeles is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.

The O/U for New Orleans’ previous outing going into it was 54. The under cashed in the 30-20 victory over Minnesota.

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Written by GMS Previews

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