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Miami (FL) Hurricanes – Notre Dame Fighting Irish Preview – 03.02.2016

The No. 7-ranked Miami (FL) Hurricanes (23-5) travel to Notre Dame to play the Fighting Irish (19-9) in a game that has the potential to be high-scoring. Action begins at 7:00 pm ET on Wednesday, Mar. 2 and can be seen on ES2 and ES3.

The Fighting Irish are hoping for a better outcome after their 77-56 loss to Florida State on Saturday. Zach Auguste recorded 12 points and 17 rebounds, earning his 16th double-double of the year. The Hurricanes are coming off a 73-65 win against Louisville on Saturday. Angel Rodriguez played well, registering 17 points, seven assists, and five rebounds.

This matchup figures to be a high-scoring affair as Notre Dame ranks sixth in the nation in offensive efficiency (119.2), while Miami (FL) is 17th (116.0). The Hurricanes should also expect to protect the ball well. They rank 30th at avoiding errors (TO% of 16.0%). Conversely, the Fighting Irish force the 76th-fewest turnovers in the nation (opponents’ TO% of 15.1%).

This will be the second matchup of the season between these two teams. The Hurricanes won the first game 79-70. Anthony Lawrence Jr. was a top performer in the victory with 18 points, two rebounds, one steal, two blocks, and four three-pointers.

The Fighting Irish enter the game with records of 19-9 Straight Up (SU) and 12-13-1 Against The Spread (ATS). In their last 10 games, they are 7-3 ATS. The Fighting Irish are one of the best in Division I in terms of field-goal percentage, shooting an impressive .478 from the field. Few teams in the nation have a higher assist-to-turnover ratio than Notre Dame, which ranks 22nd at 1.46.

On the other side, the Hurricanes have 23-5 SU and 17-9-1 ATS records. The Hurricanes rank 38th in the country in road scoring, averaging 76.3 points per game. The Hurricanes are shooting lights out from the foul line so far, with a .749 free throw percentage that ranks 25th in Division I. Switching gears to the Miami (FL) defense, the Hurricanes allow very few three-pointers on defense with 5.0 given up per game. Taking care of the basketball is something the Hurricanes do very well, averaging just 10.5 turnovers per game.

Miami (FL) won the last meeting this season between these two teams, but Notre Dame still leads the head-to-head record, 4-2 SU. The teams have an even record ATS, 3-3.

Predictions: SU Winner – Mia-Fl, ATS Winner – Mia-Fl

Notes

“Notre Dame is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games “.

“Notre Dame is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games “.

“The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Notre Dame’s last 6 games “.

“Notre Dame is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home”.

“Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home”.

“The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Notre Dame’s last 6 games at home”.

“Notre Dame is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami”.

Notre Dame sits at 10-6 SU against its conference, while Miami (FL) is 12-4 SU.

Miami (FL) averages 76.2 points per game (ranked 93rd). Notre Dame, on the other hand, allows 70.0 points per game (ranked 113th).

Miami (FL) scores 76.3 points per away game (ranked 38th). Notre Dame ranks a poor 117th in points allowed at home, allowing 67.8 points.

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish rank sixth for their offensive rating of 119.2. The Miami (FL) Hurricanes have a defensive rating of 100.1 (ranked 86th).

The Miami (FL) Hurricanes average 65.7 possessions per game and 1.160 points per possession. The Notre Dame Fighting Irish earn fewer possessions with 64.5, but they score more points with 1.192.

Notre Dame has an average effective field goal percentage of 54.3%. Miami (FL) is a losing 2-4 when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.

The 22nd-ranked team in the category, Notre Dame has an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.46 this season. Miami (FL) ranks 77th with an A/TO of 1.23.

On average, Notre Dame forces a turnover rate of 15.1%. When Miami (FL) turns over the ball at a similar or higher rate, the team has a tremendous 13-4 record.

Written by GMS Previews

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