Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Miami (+160) as the underdog to Colorado (-170). The total is sitting at 11.5 runs and bettors can take the over for -120 and the under for an even +100. The game’s current runline odds sit at -135 for taking the Marlins +1.5 runs and +115 for the Rockies -1.5.
The Marlins have gone just 30-47 SU this year and are 39-37 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.9 units for moneyline bettors and 6.6 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Rockies, on the other hand, are 38-39 SU and 37-39 ATS. They’ve lost 0.8 units for moneyline bettors and 1.8 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.
Colorado games have an over/under record of 38-35-3 so far in 2018. Miami has an over/under record of 40-36.
Caleb Smith will get the nod for the visiting Marlins. The southpaw Smith (5-6, 4.03 ERA) has racked up 87 strikeouts in 75 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Colorado this year.
The Rockies are handing the ball to righty German Marquez (5-7, 5.20 ERA), who has 78 punchouts and 32 walks, as well as a 1.47 WHIP. Marquez is 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against Miami this year.
Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.80 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 7.61 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.94, along with a K-per-9 of 8.44.
Marlins hitters have slashed .238/.306/.360 on their way to 3.6 runs scored per game this year, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Miami’s offensive production has been powered by third baseman Brian Anderson and second baseman Starlin Castro. Anderson is slashing .296/.372/.418 with four home runs, 36 RBIs and 42 runs scored. Castro (.272/.319/.372) has produced three homers, 27 RBIs and 43 runs scored.
For the home team, Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 5.3 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 4.81, a WHIP of 1.38 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.5. The bullpen has a 5.61 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.
Colorado’s offense is putting up 4.8 runs per contest, including 6.7 per game over its last 10 games and 7.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .331/.405/.586 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Third baseman Nolan Arenado and outfielder Charlie Blackmon have led the Rockies’ hitters this year. Arenado is hitting .319/.404/.589 with 17 home runs, 53 RBIs and 51 runs scored, and Blackmon’s line is .283/.362/.486 with 14 homers, 35 RBIs and 59 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 4.4 units and are 25-30 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 28 of those games, as opposed to 27 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Rockies have lost 0.8 units and are 16-13 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in 12 of those games, compared to 15 that went under the total.
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
The over has hit in five of Colorado’s last seven games.
Miami has posted 23.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.6 over its last five.
The Marlins have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Rockies have hit 16 over their last 10.
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