The Miami Marlins will be facing off against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park. This NL matchup gets underway at 1:35 p.m. ET and you can watch it on either ATPT or FSFL.
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Miami (+195) is entering this one as the underdog against Pittsburgh (-215) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 7.5 runs (-130 for the over and +110 for the under). The game’s runline odds sit at -110 for taking the Marlins +1.5 runs and -110 for the Pirates -1.5.
The Pirates are 71-71 straight up (SU) and 68-73 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.1 units for moneyline bettors and 11.8 units (ATS). Pittsburgh has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Marlins have gone 56-86 SU this year and are 73-68 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 2.5 units for moneyline bettors and 9.6 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in three of those seven.
Pirates games have an over/under record of 62-69-10 in 2018. The Marlins have an over/under record of 70-66-5.
Jeff Brigham is the probable starter for the visiting Marlins. Brigham is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA and two strikeouts. He has yet to face the Pirates this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Pirates will turn to righty Trevor Williams (12-9, 3.15 ERA) to the mound. Williams has 102 strikeouts and 49 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.18 WHIP. Williams only made one start against the Marlins in 2017 (0-1, 11.57 ERA and three strikeouts across 4.2 innings).
As a unit, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has given up 4.3 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have a 4.01 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.96 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.7 K/9.
Pittsburgh’s hitters are putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 3.4 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .285/.327/.481 over its last five games and is 5-0 SU during that span.
The Pirates’ offense has been led by outfielders Starling Marte and Corey Dickerson. Marte is hitting .278/.321/.455 with 18 home runs, 64 RBIs, 71 runs and 31 steals, and Dickerson’s line sits at .290/.319/.451 with 11 homers, 46 RBIs and 56 runs.
In the other dugout, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.43 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.67 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.28, along with a K-per-9 of 7.99.
The Marlins offense has slashed .240/.308/.361 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson continue to lead Miami’s hitters. Castro is hitting .288/.338/.412 with 11 home runs, 51 RBIs and 72 runs scored, while Anderson is slashing .270/.356/.394 with 10 homers, 58 RBIs and 77 runs scored.
The Marlins have gained 0.7 units and are 53-54 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over’s hit in 51 of those games, compared to 51 that’ve gone under against ies.
Miami Marlins at Pittsburgh Pirates Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Miami has recorded 12 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Pittsburgh has 19 XBH over its last five.
The Marlins have dropped three of their last four games SU.
Pittsburgh has recorded 19 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23 over its last five.
The Marlins have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit seven over their last 10.
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