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Miami Marlins at San Francisco Giants Free Pick 06/18/18

Marlins vs Mets
Noah K. Murray-USA TODAY Sports

The San Francisco Giants are prepared to battle against the Miami Marlins at AT&T Park. Fox SportsNet Florida is in line to televise this NL matchup and the action gets going at 10:15 p.m. ET.

Miami Marlins at San Francisco Giants Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Miami (+140) as the underdog to San Francisco (-150). The total sits at 7.5 runs and bettors can take the over for -120 and the under for +100. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at -155 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and +135 for the Giants -1.5.

The Giants are 35-37 straight up (SU) and 40-31 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 2.8 units for moneyline bettors and 7.0 units (ATS). San Francisco has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Marlins have gone 28-44 SU this year and are 37-34 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 0.4 units for moneyline bettors and 4.7 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Giants games have an over/under record of 36-33-2 so far in 2018. Marlins games have gone under 36 times, gone over 35 times and pushed on zero occasions.

Caleb Smith will get the start for the Marlins. The southpaw Smith is 5-6 with a 3.75 ERA and 83 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 4.26 ERA against San Francisco this year.

The Giants are sending lefty Andrew Suarez (2-4, 4.92 ERA) to the mound. Suarez has 50 strikeouts and 11 walks to his name, as well as a 1.26 WHIP. Suarez is 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA in one start against Miami this year.

As a unit, San Francisco’s pitching staff has yielded 4.5 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.54 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 7.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.64 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.6 K/9.

The San Francisco offense has produced 4.1 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .187/.275/.313 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Giants’ batters have been led by shortstop Brandon Crawford and outfielder Andrew McCutchen. Crawford is slashing .315/.370/.492 with eight home runs, 32 RBIs and 31 runs scored, while McCutchen is hitting .266 with eight homers, 34 RBIs and 40 runs.

In the other dugout, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.56 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 7.53 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.09, along with a K/9 of 8.46.

Marlins hitters have slashed .235/.304/.357 on their way to 3.5 runs scored per game this season, including 3.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Miami’s hitters have been led by third baseman Brian Anderson and second baseman Starlin Castro. Anderson is hitting .299/.378/.428 with four home runs, 34 RBIs and 40 runs scored, while Castro (.277/.326/.385) is up to three homers, 25 RBIs and 40 runs scored.

The Marlins have gained 1.0 units and are 12-7 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 10 of those games, as opposed to nine that’ve hit the under against lefties. On the other hand, the Giants have netted 1.7 units and are 15-12 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, compared to 10 that’ve gone under.

Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

Miami has tallied 17 extra-base hits over its last five outings. San Francisco has 11 XBH over its last five.

The Marlins have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.

San Francisco has posted 19.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 17.0 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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