David Phelps (2-3, 4.68 ERA) and Chris Rusin (2-0, 1.45 ERA) are on the hill in the first of a four-game series between the Miami Marlins (24-36) and the Colorado Rockies (27-31) at Marlins Park. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Jun. 11 and can be seen on ROOT-RM and FSN-FL.
Phelps is 0-1 with a 10.24 ERA in his appearances against the Rockies, and goes up against a good Colorado offense which is batting .275 this season. Giancarlo Stanton (.246, 38 Rs, 21 HRs, 51 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. When pitching against the Marlins, Rusin is 1-0 with a 2.57 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, and eight strikeouts. DJ LeMahieu (.348, 28 Rs, 3 HRs, 29 RBIs, 5 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Miami is a -135 favorite against Colorado and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Marlins have recorded an overall money line of -1,366 and have shown a weak performance as a favorite this season with a record of 11-17. The Marlins are one of the best in the NL in terms of hits with an impressive 9.0 per game.
In games where it is the underdog, Colorado has a 22-19 record and an overall money line of +22. They played solid baseball as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 6-2 record, and a 6-4 record SU. Offensively, the Rockies have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 4.6 runs per game by averaging 5.8 during that stretch. The Rockies are tough outs for opponents, leading the NL with 9.5 hits per game.
The Marlins lead the season series, 2-1. The Marlins have a 7-5 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Rusin takes the mound. Phelps (RHP) will be on the hill against the Rockies, who have a 24-22 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – COL, O/U – Over
Notes
Miami has won 34% (10-19) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Colorado has won 48% (11-12) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Marlins are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Rockies have a 14-23 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 3-23. The Rockies have a 4-20 record when opponents outhit them.
Miami ranks near the bottom of the league at 23rd when it comes to home runs, hitting 47 this season. Colorado ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 67.
Ranking first in hits, Colorado has earned 9.54 per game this season. Miami ranks fourth with 8.98 hits.
Ranking 21st, Miami is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.688). Colorado ranks in the top five at third with an OPS of .761.
The Rockies are 12-21 when they allow at least one home run. The Marlins perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with an 11-22 record.
