The San Diego Padres are prepared to battle against the Miami Marlins at PETCO Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET and Fox SportsNet Florida will televise this NL showdown.
Miami Marlins at San Diego Padres Odds
San Diego (-135) is hosting this game as the favorite over Miami (+125) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 7.5 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds coming in at Marlins +1.5 runs (-170) and Padres -1.5 runs (+150).
The Marlins have gone 20-34 SU this year and are 27-26 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.9 units ATS. Miami is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, are 23-33 SU and 27-28 ATS. The team has lost 4.4 units for moneyline bettors and 8.7 units ATS. San Diego has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
San Diego games have an over/under record of 25-28-2 so far in 2018. Miami has an over/under record of 25-28.
Jose Urena will get the start for the Marlins. The right-handed Urena is 0-7 with a 4.69 ERA and 52 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Padres this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Padres are sending lefty Clayton Richard (3-6, 4.97 ERA) to the mound. Richard has 56 strikeouts and 24 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.37 WHIP. Richard only made one start against the Marlins in 2017 (0-1, 6.43 ERA and seven strikeouts across seven innings).
San Diego’s pitchers have yielded 4.7 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 5.02, a WHIP of 1.51 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has a 3.26 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.
The San Diego hitters have put up 3.8 runs per outing, including 4.0 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .233/.269/.399 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Padres’ hitters have been led by outfielder Jose Pirela and first baseman Eric Hosmer. Pirela is slashing .273/.329/.356 with 59 hits, 17 RBIs and 31 runs scored, while Hosmer is hitting .266 with six homers, 21 RBIs and 27 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.31 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 7.66 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.82, along with a K-per-9 of 8.79.
Marlins hitters have slashed .234/.303/.348 on their way to 3.5 runs scored per game this year, including 3.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Miami’s hitters have been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is slashing .288/.327/.380 with 59 hits, 22 RBIs and 30 runs scored, while Anderson (.284/.363/.388) has produced 57 hits, 24 RBIs and 29 runs scored.
Castro didn’t do as well batting against lefties on the road last year. Over 55 such plate appearances, he maintained a slash line of .235/.291/.373 (compared to his overall season line of .299/.337/.452).
The Marlins have lost 0.3 units and are 8-6 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in eight of those games, as opposed to six that’ve gone under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 3.9 units and are 20-17 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 14 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under.
Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The Marlins have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 11 over their last 10.
Miami has recorded 21.3 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.2 over its last five.
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