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Michigan State Spartans vs. Purdue Boilermakers Odds Preview 01/27/19

Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

The Purdue Boilermakers (13-6, 6-2 Big 10) welcome the No. 6 Michigan State Spartans (18-2, 9-0 Big 10) in a matchup that pits great offense against exceptional defense. The game is scheduled to get underway at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 27, 2019.

Michigan State Spartans at Purdue Boilermakers ATS Prediction

In the Spartans’ last contest, they beat the No. 19 Iowa Hawkeyes, 82-67. The Spartans made 20 of their 21 free throws (95.2 percent) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 44.0 (above their season average of 35.8). Michigan State received a boost from Nick Ward, who put up 21 points and 10 rebounds.

The Boilermakers were victorious over the Ohio State Buckeyes in their last matchup, 79-67. The Boilermakers held the Buckeyes to an offensive rebounding percentage of 16.7 (below their season average of 29.1) and had a free throw rate of 0.438 (above their season average of 0.194). Carsen Edwards was the top scorer from either team with 27 points on 6-for-16 shooting from the field.

This is the second game of the season between these two squads. In the first, Cassius Winston scored a game-high 23 points and the Spartans defeated the Boilermakers 77-59. He also had six rebounds and five assists. The Spartans knocked down 16 of their 19 free throws (84.2 percent) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.526 vs. 0.367).

The game should be a matchup of strength against strength as the prolific offense of Purdue takes on the stingy defense of Michigan State. The Boilermakers rank 16th in offensive efficiency, while the Spartans are 29th in defensive efficiency.

Michigan State at Purdue Pick

Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – Michigan State, ATS Winner – Michigan State, O/U – Over

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Notes

Betting Notes:

Purdue ranks 20th in three pointers attempted per game (28.1) while Michigan State ranks 170th in three pointers allowed per game (23.4).

The Spartans rank third in rebounds per game (43.5) while the Boilermakers rank 140th (35.7).

Purdue ranks 17th in steals allowed per game (4.9) while Michigan State ranks 120th (6.5).

The Spartans average 20.4 assists per game, which ranks first in the country. The Boilermakers rank 104th in assists allowed per game (12.6).

Michigan State blocks 5.5 opponent shots per game, which is ranked ninth in the country. Purdue ranks 76th in blocks allowed per game (3.1).

Bettings Trends:

The Spartans’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 13.6, down from 17.6 for the season.

During their last five games, the Boilermakers have scored an average of 76.2 points per game (2.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 66.6 points per game (1.6 below their season average).

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Written by GMS Previews

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