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Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at North Texas Mean Green ATS Preview 01/26/19

Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (5-15, 2-5 CUSA) will try to put an end to their seven-game road losing streak in a matchup against the North Texas Mean Green (17-3, 5-2 CUSA) at The Super Pit. The game can be seen on ESPN 3 at 6 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 26, 2019.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. North Texas Mean Green Betting Prediction

In the Blue Raiders’ last matchup, they were topped by the Rice Owls, 79-68. Getting to the free throw line was one of Rice’s biggest strengths. They made 32 trips to the line, while Middle Tennessee went just 14 times. Reggie Scurry was the game’s high scorer with 22 points on 9-for-15 shooting.

The Mean Green lost a close one to the UAB Blazers in their last contest, 52-49. UAB’s free throw rate was their biggest strength over North Texas. The Blazers had a rate of 0.143 (below their season average of 0.182), while the Mean Green posted a mark of 0.017 (below their season average of 0.225). North Texas’ Michael Miller recorded 11 points and seven rebounds in the contest.

After the Blue Raiders won the only game against the Mean Green last season, 79-73, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. Middle Tennessee had a much better turnover percentage (6.9 vs. 23.7). North Texas, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (24.1 vs. 8.8).

From an effective field goal percentage perspective, North Texas figures to have a considerable edge. The Mean Green defense ranks 25th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.457), while the Middle Tennessee offense is ranked 318th in effective field goal percentage (0.470).

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at North Texas Mean Green Pick

Pick: SU Winner – North Texas, ATS Winner – Middle Tennessee, O/U – Under

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Notes

Betting Notes:

North Texas ranks ninth in assists allowed per game (9.8) while Middle Tennessee ranks 194th (14.8).

The Mean Green rank 28th in three pointers allowed per game (19.1) while the Blue Raiders rank 206th (24.4).

North Texas averages 37.6 rebounds per game, which ranks 76th in the nation. Middle Tennessee ranks 185th in rebounds allowed per game (36.0).

The Mean Green rank 89th in steals per game (6.8) while the Blue Raiders rank 191st in steals allowed per game (8.2).

Bettings Trends:

The Blue Raiders’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.8, down from 9.2 for the season.

During their last five games, the Mean Green have scored an average of 64.4 points per game (9.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 63.2 points per game (1.3 above their season average).

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Written by GMS Previews

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