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Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs Matchup 08/15/18

Cubs vs Reds
David Kohl-USA TODAY Sports

The Chicago Cubs will square off against the Milwaukee Brewers at Wrigley Field. WGN will showcase the matchup and the game gets going at 2:20 p.m. ET.

Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs Odds

The Cubs are 68-50 straight up (SU) and 59-58 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle much for gamblers, gaining 0.6 units for moneyline bettors and 0.6 units (ATS). Chicago has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Brewers have gone 68-54 SU this year and are 63-58 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 9.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 1.8 units ATS. Milwaukee is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Cubs games have had an over/under record of 53-61-3 in 2018. Milwaukee has an over/under record of 57-60-4.

Junior Guerra is getting the start for the Brewers. The right-handed Guerra is 6-7 with a 3.40 ERA and 114 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with 10 strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Chicago this year (two starts).

The Cubs will put the ball in the right hand of Kyle Hendricks (8-9, 4.02 ERA), who has 115 strikeouts and 34 walks as well as a 1.21 WHIP. Hendricks is 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA over two starts against Milwaukee this year.

As a unit, Chicago’s pitching staff has given up 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.20 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.35 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 51 divisional games, Cubs starters have an ERA of 3.75 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.85.

Chicago’s offense is putting up 4.9 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .176/.254/.229 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Second baseman Javier Baez and first baseman Anthony Rizzo have led the Cubs’ offense this year. Baez is slashing .292/.325/.572 with 25 home runs, 89 RBIs, 73 runs and 19 steals, while Rizzo is hitting .262 with 17 homers, 75 RBIs and 48 runs.

In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.97 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 7.74 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.77, along with a WHIP of 1.24.

The Brewers offense has slashed .249/.319/.416 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 3.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Milwaukee’s hitters have been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is slashing .310/.374/.518 with 18 home runs, 60 RBIs, 82 runs and 14 stolen bases. Cain is hitting .304/.391/.426 with nine homers, 31 RBIs, 62 runs and 21 stolen bases.

The Brewers have gained 15.6 units and are 50-40 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 37 of those games, compared to 49 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Cubs have lost 4.5 units and are 44-46 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 41 of those games, compared to 46 that went under the total.

Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The over has cashed in five of Milwaukee’s last seven games.

The Brewers have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit eight over their last 10.

Milwaukee has posted 24.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.8 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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