The Milwaukee Brewers will head south to face the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will be showing this NL matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins Odds
Milwaukee (-155) is entering this game as the favorite over Miami (+145) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at eight runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Gamblers can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at Brewers -1.5 runs (-110) and Marlins +1.5 runs (-110).
The Marlins are 48-43 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 37-55 straight up (SU). The team has lost 1.4 units for moneyline bettors and 4.5 units (ATS). Miami has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 54-36 SU and have gone 48-41 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 15.8 units for moneyline bettors and 6.5 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Miami games have had an over/under record of 46-43-2 so far in 2018. Milwaukee has been a decent under bet with a total record of 37-49-3.
Chase Anderson is getting the nod for the visiting Brewers. The right-handed Anderson is 6-6 with a 3.99 ERA and 73 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with three strikeouts and a 5.06 ERA against Miami this year.
The Marlins are going with righty Jose Urena (2-9, 4.18 ERA), who’s got 81 punchouts and 23 walks, as well as a 1.18 WHIP. Urena is 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 7.20 ERA in one start against Milwaukee this year.
Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.82 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 7.81 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.14, along with a K/9 of 10.46.
The Brewers offense has slashed .244/.316/.412 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 4.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Milwaukee’s offense has been powered by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain, who’ve collectively blasted 19 home runs. Yelich is slashing .285/.362/.459 with 11 home runs, 36 RBIs, 55 runs and 11 steals. Cain (.290/.394/.435) has produced eight homers, 26 RBIs, 50 runs and 16 steals.
For the home team, Miami’s pitching staff has given up 5.1 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 4.74, a WHIP of 1.35 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.6. The bullpen has a 4.97 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 8.3 K/9.
Miami’s hitters are putting up 3.8 runs per outing, including 5.5 per game over its last 10 games and 6.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .322/.396/.489 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have led the way for the Marlins’ batters this year. Castro is hitting .298/.346/.412 with six home runs, 33 RBIs and 55 runs scored, while Anderson’s line sits at .282/.359/.407 with six homers, 44 RBIs and 50 runs.
The Brewers have gained 17.5 units and are 41-30 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 27 of those games, compared to 41 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 0.7 units and are 31-34 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 33 of those games, compared to 30 that went under the total.
Milwaukee Brewers at Miami Marlins MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has hit in four of Miami’s last seven games.
The Brewers have won six of their last seven games SU.
The Milwaukee defense has allowed five errors over its last five games, compared to two errors for Miami over its last five.
The Brewers have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
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