The Milwaukee Brewers will head east to take on their divisional rival Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park. The matchup will begin at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Net Wisconsin to catch the action.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Pittsburgh (+100) is the underdog to Milwaukee (-110) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -110 for the over and -110 for the under. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at +135 for taking the Brewers -1.5 runs and -155 for the Pirates +1.5 runs.
The Pirates are 35-36 straight up (SU) and 31-39 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 1.8 units for moneyline bettors and 10.8 units (ATS). Pittsburgh has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Brewers are 42-29 SU and have gone 39-31 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 14.3 units for moneyline bettors and 6.8 units ATS. Milwaukee is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Pittsburgh games have an over/under record of 33-31-6 so far in 2018. Milwaukee has been a good under bet with a total record of 27-41-2.
The right-handed Jhoulys Chacin is projected to start for the visiting Brewers. Chacin is 6-1 with a 3.32 ERA and 64 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Pittsburgh this year.
The Pirates are putting the ball in the hands of righty Trevor Williams (5-4, 4.38 ERA), who has 51 strikeouts and 26 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.30. Williams has yet to face the Brewers this year, but he made two starts against them in 2017, posting a 0-1 record with a 3.27 ERA and 13 strikeouts.
Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.02 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.39 K/9. The bullpen has an outstanding ERA of just 2.76, along with a WHIP of 1.25.
Brewers hitters have slashed .249/.320/.414 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 2.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich continue to lead Milwaukee’s hitters. Cain is slashing .291/.393/.446 with eight home runs, 25 RBIs, 43 runs and 15 stolen bases, while Yelich has a .297 average with nine homers, 31 RBIs, 47 runs and eight stolen bases.
For the home team, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 4.15, a WHIP of 1.27 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.6. The bullpen has a 4.54 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 32 divisional games, Pirates starters have an ERA of 3.39 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.52.
The Pittsburgh hitters have put up 4.6 runs per contest, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .276/.352/.491 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Pirates’ batters have been led by outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte. Dickerson is slashing .308/.342/.464 with five home runs, 32 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Marte’s line is .285/.339/.469 with eight homers, 32 RBIs, 35 runs and 13 stolen bases.
The Brewers have gained 15.1 units and are 33-21 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 19 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Pirates have netted 1.5 units and are 26-28 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 22 of those games, compared to 26 that went under.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in four of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
The Milwaukee defense has allowed five errors over the last 10 games, compared to 10 errors for Pittsburgh over its last 10.
The Brewers have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit 10 over their last 10.
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