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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free Pick 05/16/18

Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

The Milwaukee Brewers will play the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. The game gets underway 3:40 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Net Wisconsin is in line to showcase this NL showdown.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Arizona (-125) is favored over Milwaukee (+115) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this day game at 8.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds coming in at Brewers +1.5 runs (-180) and Diamondbacks +-1.5 runs (+160).

The Diamondbacks are 25-17 SU and 21-20 ATS. They’ve gained 8.8 units for moneyline bettors and 1.4 units against the spread (ATS). Arizona has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. The Brewers have gone 25-18 SU this year and are 24-18 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 10.1 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 4.3 units ATS. Milwaukee’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Diamondbacks games have had an over/under record of 18-21-2 so far in 2018. Brewers games have gone under 25 times, gone over 15 times and pushed on two instances.

Brandon Woodruff will get the nod for the visiting Brewers. The right-handed Woodruff is 1-0 with an 8.03 ERA and 11 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Diamondbacks this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Diamondbacks are sending righty Matt Koch (2-1, 2.43 ERA) to the mound. Koch has 20 strikeouts and eight walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 0.99. Koch did not record any MLB pitching stats in 2017.

As a unit, Arizona’s pitchers have given up 3.4 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 3.64 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.50, a WHIP of 1.06 and a K/9 of 8.3.

Arizona’s hitters are putting up 4.0 runs per outing, including 2.9 per game over its last 10 games and 2.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .174/.234/.245 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Diamondbacks’ hitters have been led by outfielders A.J. Pollock and David Peralta. Pollock is slashing .293/.349/.620 with 11 home runs, 33 RBIs, 23 runs and nine stolen bases, and Peralta’s line sits at .287/.368/.497 with seven homers, 21 RBIs and 19 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.11 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 6.97 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 2.66, along with a WHIP of 1.29.

Brewers hitters have slashed .241/.310/.389 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Milwaukee’s hitters have been powered by outfielder Lorenzo Cain and third baseman Travis Shaw. Cain is slashing .276/.380/.441 with five home runs, 13 RBIs, 24 runs and nine stolen bases, while Shaw is slashing .242/.322/.490 with nine homers, 24 RBIs and 25 runs scored.

The Brewers have gained 8.8 units and are 19-12 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 10 of those games, compared to 19 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 0.3 units and are 11-13 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 11 of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under.

Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

Arizona has recorded 16.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 12.8 over its last five.

The Brewers have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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