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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free Preview 05/15/18

Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

The Milwaukee Brewers will be squaring off against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. The game gets underway 9:40 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will televise this NL showdown.

Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Milwaukee (+145) is coming into this one as the underdog to Arizona (-155) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at -150 for the Brewers +1.5 runs and +130 for the Diamondbacks -1.5.

The Diamondbacks are 24-17 SU and 21-19 ATS. They’ve gained 10.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.4 units against the spread (ATS). Arizona has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Brewers have gone 25-17 SU this year and are 23-18 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 8.8 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 3.3 units ATS. Milwaukeehas covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Arizona games have an over/under record of 17-21-2 so far in 2018. Brewers games have gone under 25 times, gone over 14 times and pushed on two instances.

Jhoulys Chacin is getting the start for the visiting Brewers. The right-handed Chacin is 3-1 with a 4.00 ERA and 29 strikeouts. He has yet to face Arizona this year, but he did make three starts against the Diamondbacks in 2017, compiling a 1-1 record against them with a 5.21 ERA and 16 strikeouts.

The Diamondbacks are planning to start righty Zack Greinke (3-2, 3.70 ERA), who’s got 53 strikeouts and six walks to his name, as well as a 1.03 WHIP. Greinke only made one start against the Brewers in 2017 (0-1, 8.44 ERA and six strikeouts across five and 1-third innings).

As a unit, Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 3.5 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 3.69, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.55, a WHIP of 1.07 and a K/9 of 8.1.

The Arizona hitters have produced 4.0 runs per contest, including 2.7 per game over its last 10 games and 1.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .188/.238/.259 over its last five contests and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.

The Diamondbacks’ batters have been led by outfielders A.J. Pollock and David Peralta. Pollock is slashing .293/.349/.620 with 11 home runs, 33 RBIs, 23 runs and nine stolen bases, while Peralta’s line sits at .288/.371/.504 with seven homers, 21 RBIs and 19 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.20 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 6.91 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 2.62, along with a WHIP of 1.31.

Brewers hitters have slashed .243/.313/.393 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Lorenzo Cain and Eric Thames have led Milwaukee’s offense. Cain is slashing .284/.389/.454 with five home runs, 13 RBIs, 24 runs and nine steals, while Thames (.250/.351/.625) has produced seven homers, 13 RBIs and 11 runs scored.

The Brewers have gained 8.8 units and are 19-12 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 10 of those games, compared to 19 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 1.6 units and are 11-12 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 10 of those games, as opposed to 13 that’ve cashed the under.

Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The Brewers have won four of their last five games SU.

Milwaukee has recorded 22.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 28.8 over its last five.

The Brewers have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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