The Milwaukee Brewers will be taking on their divisional rival Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 12:35 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will be televising the matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds Odds
Milwaukee (-135) is favored against Cincinnati (+125) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at +110 for the Brewers -1.5 runs and -130 for the Reds +1.5.
The Reds are 74-58 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 57-76 straight up (SU). The team has lost 6.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 2.9 units (ATS). Cincinnati has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, have gone 74-60 SU this year and are 67-66 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 8.6 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, but have lost 3.7 units ATS. Milwaukee is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Reds games have had an over/under record of 68-60-4 in 2018. Brewers games have gone under 65 times, gone over 64 times and pushed on four instances.
The southpaw Wade Miley is the projected starter for the visiting Brewers. Miley (2-2, 2.32 ERA) has recorded 33 strikeouts in 50.1 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Cincinnati this year.
The Reds are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Cody Reed (0-1, 3.68 ERA), who’s got 14 strikeouts and four walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.23. Reed is 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Milwaukee this year.
As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitching staff has given up 5.2 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.24, a WHIP of 1.44 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.6. The bullpen has a 4.27 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 7.9 K/9. In 60 games against divisional opponents, Reds starters have an ERA of 5.60 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.33.
Cincinnati’s hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .271/.348/.480 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza have led the charge for the Reds’ batters this year. Gennett is slashing .314/.362/.495 with 19 home runs, 79 RBIs and 77 runs scored, and Peraza’s line is .290/.332/.408 with nine homers, 44 RBIs, 71 runs and 20 stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 4.06 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 7.82 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.88, along with a K-per-9 of 10.06.
Brewers hitters have slashed .253/.322/.422 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Milwaukee’s offense has been powered by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain, who collectively have launched 35 home runs. Yelich is slashing .319/.380/.563 with 26 home runs, 75 RBIs, 93 runs and 14 stolen bases, while Cain (.309/.400/.432) has produced nine homers, 33 RBIs, 71 runs and 24 stolen bases.
The Brewers have lost 4.5 units and are 14-18 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 20 of those games, as opposed to 12 that’ve gone under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Reds have netted 6.0 units and are 22-13 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in 20 of those games, compared to 14 that went under the total.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has cashed in three of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
Cincinnati has recorded 24.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 25.0 over its last five.
The Brewers have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games, including 12 over their last five.
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