The Miami Marlins are set to host the Milwaukee Brewers at Marlins Park. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Net Wisconsin is in line to broadcast this NL matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins Odds
Miami (+135) is coming into this one as the underdog against Milwaukee (-145) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -105 for the under and -115 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at +100 for the Brewers -1.5 runs and -120 for the Marlins +1.5 runs.
The Marlins are 49-43 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 38-55 straight up (SU). They’ve gained 0.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 3.5 units (ATS). Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. The Brewers have gone 54-37 SU this year and are 49-41 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 16.8 units for moneyline bettors and 8.1 units ATS. Milwaukee is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.
Miami games have a 47-43-2 over/under record so far in 2018. Milwaukee has been a good under bet with a total record of 38-49-3.
The right-handed Jhoulys Chacin is projected to start for the visiting Brewers. Chacin is 7-3 with a 3.63 ERA and 83 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Miami this year.
The Marlins are putting the ball in the hands of Pablo Lopez (1-0, 5.73 ERA), who has eight strikeouts and three walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.27. Lopez has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not pitch in the majors in 2017.
Miami’s pitching staff has allowed 5.1 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have a 4.72 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.94 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 8.3 K/9.
The Miami offense is putting up 3.8 runs per contest, including 5.1 per game over its last 10 games and 6.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .348/.419/.519 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Marlins’ batters have been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is slashing .299/.347/.423 with seven home runs, 34 RBIs and 56 runs scored, while Anderson is batting .284 with seven homers, 45 RBIs and 51 runs.
In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.79 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 7.81 K/9. The bullpen has managed a solid ERA of just 3.18, along with a K-per-9 of 10.39.
The Brewers offense has slashed .245/.317/.412 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain continue to lead Milwaukee’s offense. Yelich is hitting .287/.362/.458 with 11 home runs, 36 RBIs, 56 runs and 12 stolen bases, while Cain is slashing .297/.401/.440 with eight homers, 27 RBIs, 50 runs and 17 stolen bases.
The Marlins have gained 1.0 units and are 32-34 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 34 of those games, compared to 30 that’ve gone under.
Milwaukee Brewers at Miami Marlins Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
Both teams have recorded 15 extra-base hits over their last five contests.
The Brewers have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
Milwaukee has recorded 18.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.8 over its last five.
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