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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free Pick 06/09/18

Kelvin Kuo-USA TODAY Sports

The Philadelphia Phillies will try to avoid dropping their fourth consecutive game when they play host to the Milwaukee Brewers at Citizens Bank Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin is in line to showcase this NL matchup and the first pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET.

Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Philadelphia (-125) is hosting this game as the favorite over Milwaukee (+115) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 8.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. The game’s current runline odds sit at -180 for betting the Brewers +1.5 runs and +160 for the Phillies -1.5.

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The Phillies are 32-29 SU and 28-32 ATS. They’ve gained 3.8 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 9.8 units against the spread (ATS). The Brewers, on the other hand, have gone 38-25 SU this year and are 35-27 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 13.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.2 units ATS.

Philadelphia games have a 25-31-4 over/under record so far in 2018. Brewers games have gone under 37 times, gone over 23 times and pushed on two instances.

The southpaw Brent Suter is the probable starter for the visiting Brewers. Suter is 5-4 with a 4.55 ERA and 54 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 1.50 ERA and five strikeouts across six innings).

The Phillies are putting the ball in the hands of righty Jake Arrieta (5-3, 2.66 ERA), who’s got 44 punchouts and 19 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.17 WHIP. Arrieta made three starts against the Brewers in 2017, compiling a spotless 2-0 record with a 2.00 ERA and 18 strikeouts.

Philadelphia’s pitching staff has yielded 3.9 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 3.65 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.64 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.

The Philadelphia offense is putting up 4.2 runs per contest, including 2.9 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .210/.320/.329 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Phillies’ hitters have been led by Odubel Herrera, who is slashing .298/.361/.452 with seven home runs, 32 RBIs and 27 runs scored.

For the visitors, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.20 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 7.33 K/9. The bullpen has managed an excellent ERA of just 2.58, along with a WHIP of 1.28 and a K-per-9 of 10.48.

Brewers hitters have slashed .248/.319/.409 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Lorenzo Cain has led Milwaukee’s offense so far and is slashing .284/.389/.436 with seven home runs, 20 RBIs, 37 runs and 11 steals.

The Brewers are looking for another win after a 12-4 victory in the prior game of this series.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The under has cashed in six of Philadelphia’s last seven games.

The Brewers have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.

Philadelphia has recorded 16.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.8 over its last five.

The Phillies have lost six of their last seven games SU.

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Written by GMS Previews

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