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Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview 04/10/18

Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

The Milwaukee Brewers will be facing off against their divisional rival St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium. The game gets underway 8:15 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will showcase the action.

Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Milwaukee (+155) as the underdog to St. Louis (-165). The total sits at 8 runs and gamblers can wager on the over for even money (+100) and the under for -120. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at Brewers +1.5 runs (-140) and Cardinals +-1.5 runs (+120).

The Cardinals are 4-6 SU and 5-4 ATS. The team’s lost 1.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.3 units against the spread (ATS). St. Louis has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Brewers have gone 6-5 SU this year and are 3-7 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 0.1 units for moneyline gamblers this year, but have lost 5.5 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven.

Cardinals games have a 4-5 over/under record so far in 2018. The Brewers have an over/under record of 4-6.

The Brewers have gained 0.1 units and are 2-4 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in three of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Cardinals have lost 0.1 units and are 1-1 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in zero of those games, compared to two that went under.

The left-handed Brent Suter (1-1, 6.30 ERA) will get the nod for the visiting Brewers. Suter started 14 games last year while finishing the season 3-2 overall with a 3.42 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. He made two starts against St. Louis in 2017 and put together a 0-2 record against the Cardinals with a 5.14 ERA and 11 strikeouts.

The Cards have tabbed righty Carlos Martinez (1-1, 2.84 ERA) as their starter. Martinez recorded 217 strikeouts in 205 innings last year (32 starts). Martinez finished the season 12-11 overall with a 3.64 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. He made four starts against the Brewers a year ago and assembled a 1-3 record with a 4.30 ERA and 25 strikeouts.

St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.98, a WHIP of 1.36 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a 3.67 ERA, 1.57 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In four games against divisional foes, Cardinals starters have an ERA of 3.20 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.97.

St. Louis’ offense has produced 4.0 runs per outing, including 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .211/.278/.286 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Cardinals’ batters have been led by shortstop Paul DeJong and catcher Yadier Molina. DeJong is slashing .324/.359/.595 with 12 hits, five RBIs and five runs scored, and Molina’s line is .289/.300/.553 with 11 hits, six RBIs and five runs.

Compared to his total season slash line of .285/.325/.532, DeJong seemed to enjoy hitting at home in 2017, slashing .358/.404/.654 over 193 plate appearances.

For the visitors, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 5.24 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 7.53 K/9. The bullpen has logged an excellent ERA of just 2.25, along with a K/9 of 9.94.

Brewers hitters have slashed .238/.298/.364 on their way to 3.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Christian Yelich and Eric Thames have led Milwaukee’s offense. Yelich is hitting .385/.407/.577 with 10 hits, five RBIs and six runs scored, while Thames (.207/.324/.552) is up to six hits, three homers, five RBIs and five runs scored.

Yelich enjoyed batting against righty pitching on the road in 2017, maintaining a slash line of .313/.404/.513 across 270 such plate appearances (his overall season line was .282/.369/.439).

Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Notes

The Cardinals went 8-11 SU against the Brewers last season.

The Cardinals have lost three of their last four games SU.

The Cardinals’ bullpen recorded 2.38 ERA against the Brewers last year.

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Written by GMS Previews

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