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Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Free Pick 08/18/18

Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

The Milwaukee Brewers will be taking on their divisional rival St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium. The matchup can be viewed across the country on Fox Sports One and the opening pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Odds

St. Louis (-130) is favored over Milwaukee (+120) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at -175 for the Brewers +1.5 runs and +155 for the Cardinals -1.5.

The Brewers are 68-56 SU and are 64-59 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 10.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 1.1 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Cardinals, on the other hand, are 67-56 SU and 61-61 ATS. The team’s lost 1.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.1 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

St. Louis games have an over/under record of 58-59-5 in 2018. The Brewers have an over/under record of 58-61-4.

Left-hander Wade Miley will get the nod for the visiting Brewers. Miley is 2-1 with a 2.23 ERA and 22 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Cardinals this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 7.94 ERA and eight strikeouts over 5.2 innings).

The Cardinals will turn to righty Miles Mikolas (12-3, 2.85 ERA), who has 102 strikeouts and 26 walks as well as a 1.05 WHIP. Mikolas is 2-0 with 15 strikeouts and a 4.82 ERA across three starts against Milwaukee this year.

As a unit, St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have a 3.42 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.27 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 59 games against divisional foes, Cardinals starters have an ERA of 3.51 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.49.

The St. Louis offense is putting up 4.6 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .273/.368/.484 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Cardinals’ offense has been led by outfielder Marcell Ozuna and first baseman Jose Martinez. Ozuna is hitting .270/.312/.396 with 14 home runs, 66 RBIs and 49 runs scored, and Martinez’s line is .308/.370/.469 with 14 homers, 69 RBIs and 42 runs.

In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.03 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.72 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.78, along with a WHIP of 1.25 and a K-per-9 of 10.13.

The Brewers offense has slashed .249/.319/.414 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 3.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain continue to lead Milwaukee’s offense. Yelich is hitting .310/.373/.515 with 18 home runs, 60 RBIs, 83 runs and 14 stolen bases, while Cain is slashing .302/.392/.422 with nine homers, 31 RBIs, 63 runs and 22 stolen bases.

The Brewers have gained 14.6 units and are 50-41 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 38 of those games, compared to 49 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Cardinals have netted 1.6 units and are 18-17 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in 21 of those games, compared to 14 that went under the total.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The over has hit in five of Milwaukee’s last seven games.

The Brewers have lost three of their last four games SU while the Cardinals have won nine of their last 10.

St. Louis has recorded 24.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.8 over its last five.

The Brewers have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cardinals have hit 18 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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