The Boston Celtics (2-2) challenge the Milwaukee Bucks (2-2) at TD Garden in game five of the First Round of the Eastern Conference Playoffs. The game is scheduled to get underway at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, April 24, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 204.5 points with Boston set as a 2.5-point favorite.
Milwaukee Bucks at Boston Celtics Free Prediction
In game four, the Celtics lost 104-102 but covered as 6-point underdogs. Brown led both teams with 34 points and also put up eight rebounds. The game finished with a total of 206 points, which was just 3 points above the projected point total of 203 points. Milwaukee had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.589 vs. 0.471). Boston, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (32.0 vs. 6.9).
Half-court execution will be at a premium when two of the league’s slowest-paced teams battle. Boston ranks 23rd in possessions per game (98.0) and Milwaukee is 24th (97.9).
Milwaukee comes into the game with records of 46-40 straight up (SU) and 36-45-5 against the spread (ATS). Vegas is known to place the total low when the Bucks are involved, as 50 of their 86 games have gone over the total.
Meanwhile, Boston is 57-29 SU and 51-31-4 ATS. Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Celtics games, with 46 overs compared to 39 unders.
Milwaukee Bucks at Boston Celtics ATS Pick
NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Celtics, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Milwaukee is 22-19-2 ATS with 26 overs, 16 unders and 1 push.
At home, Boston is 22-17-4 ATS with 25 overs and 18 unders.
In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Boston is 36-5 and Milwaukee is 18-5.
In games where they reach the century mark, the Bucks are 40-22 and the Celtics are 44-14.
Milwaukee ranks seventh in points in the paint per game (47.5) while Boston ranks 29th (40.0).
The Celtics rank third in second chance points allowed per game (10.9) while the Bucks rank 24th (13.4).
Boston ranks ninth in rebounds per game (44.4) while Milwaukee ranks last (39.8).
The Bucks rank third in points off turnovers per game (18.0) while the Celtics rank 23rd (15.3).
Milwaukee ranks sixth in fast break points per game (14.6) while Boston ranks 26th (9.6).
The Bucks rank third in steals per game (8.7) while the Celtics rank 22nd (7.3).
Milwaukee ranks fourth in blocks per game (5.6) while Boston ranks 19th (4.5).
The Celtics rank 10th in three pointers attempted per game (30.3) while the Bucks rank 25th (24.6).
Boston ranks fourth in assists allowed per game (21.4) while Milwaukee ranks 16th (23.5).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS with 5 overs.
Boston is 4-1 ATS with 5 overs over their last five games.
The Bucks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.8, up from 0.2 for the season.
During their last five games, the Celtics have scored an average of 107.4 points per game (3.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 106.0 points per game (5.2 above their season average).
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