The Los Angeles Clippers (39-34) square off against the Milwaukee Bucks (39-34) at Staples Center. The game starts at 10:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 27, 2018, and will air on TNT.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 225 points with Los Angeles set as a 2.5-point favorite.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Los Angeles Clippers Betting Prediction
In the Bucks’ last game, they defeated the San Antonio Spurs, 106-103. Milwaukee’s 0.541 effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over San Antonio, who had a mark of 0.467. The Bucks’ mark was above their season average of 0.533, while the Spurs’ was below the 0.527 mark opponents have averaged against Milwaukee this season. Milwaukee was led by Giannis Antetokounmpo, who led the team in scoring with 25 points on 9-for-16 shooting.
The Clippers defeated the Toronto Raptors in their last game, 117-106. One of Los Angeles’ biggest strengths was getting to the charity stripe. They made 27 trips to the line, while Toronto went just 14 times. Lou Williams was the top scorer from either team with 26 points on 10-for-24 shooting.
The physical Los Angeles offense seems poised to dominate from the charity stripe. The Clippers currently rank fifth in the NBA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.224, while Milwaukee ranks 28th in FTA rate allowed (0.223).
Milwaukee comes into the game with records of 39-34 straight up (SU) and 30-38-5 against the spread (ATS). Of the Bucks’ 73 games, 39 have finished over the total.
Meanwhile, Los Angeles is 39-34 SU and 39-33-1 ATS. Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Clippers games, with 39 overs compared to 33 unders.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, DeAndre Jordan scored a game-high 25 points and the Clippers, who were 6-point underdogs, beat the Bucks 127-120. He also had 22 rebounds. The game finished with a total of 247 points, which was 24.5 points above the projected point total of 222.5 points. The Clippers knocked down 22 of their 29 free throws (75.9 percent) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (39.0 vs. 20.5).
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Los Angeles Clippers Odds Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Clippers, ATS Winner – Clippers, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
Milwaukee is 18-15-2 ATS on the road with 19 overs, 15 unders and 1 push.
Los Angeles is 16-19 ATS at home with 20 overs, 14 unders and 1 push.
Milwaukee is 16-5 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Los Angeles is 11-2.
The Clippers are 37-23 when they score above 100 points, while the Bucks are 33-18.
Milwaukee ranks first in fast break points allowed per game (9.6) while Los Angeles ranks last (15.1).
The Bucks average 8.6 steals per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. The Clippers rank 26th in steals allowed per game (8.4).
Los Angeles ranks fourth in second chance points per game (13.7) while Milwaukee ranks 26th (10.4).
The Bucks rank fourth in blocks allowed per game (4.2) while the Clippers rank 25th (5.4).
Los Angeles ranks third in points in the paint per game (51.4) while Milwaukee ranks 22nd in points allowed in the paint per game (46.6).
The Bucks average 18.2 points off turnovers per game, which ranks third in the NBA. The Clippers rank 20th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.3).
Los Angeles ranks 13th in rebounds per game (43.8) while Milwaukee ranks 29th (39.4).
The Bucks rank 14th in assists per game (22.9) while the Clippers rank 22nd in assists allowed per game (24.3).
Los Angeles ranks 20th in three pointers attempted per game (27.8) while Milwaukee ranks 25th (24.7).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Milwaukee is 2-3 ATS with 5 overs.
Los Angeles is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Bucks have outscored opponents by an average of 1.4 points in their last five games. For the season, Milwaukee has lost by an average of 0.2 points.
During their last five games, the Clippers have scored an average of 113.2 points per game (3.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 116.0 points per game (7.3 above their season average).
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