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Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox Free Pick 07/27/18

Winslow Townson-USA TODAY Sports

The Boston Red Sox will play host to the Minnesota Twins at Fenway Park. New England Sports Network will be showing this AL showdown and the game gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Boston (-325) as the favorite over Minnesota (+265). The total stands at 8.5 runs and bettors can wager on either the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at Twins +1.5 runs (+130) and Red Sox -1.5 runs (-150).

The Red Sox are 71-33 straight up (SU) and 62-41 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 24.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 20.7 units (ATS). The Twins are 48-53 SU and have gone 56-44 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 8.7 units for moneyline bettors, but have gained 9.6 units ATS.

Neither squad has established itself as a strong over/under play this season. Red Sox games have an over/under record of 49-51-3 in 2018. Twins games have gone over 49 times, gone under 48 times and pushed on three occasions.

Lance Lynn is getting the start for Minnesota. The right-handed Lynn is 7-8 with a 5.23 ERA and 97 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with two strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Boston this year.

The Red Sox will turn to lefty Chris Sale (11-4, 2.13 ERA) to the mound. Sale has 197 strikeouts and 31 walks to his name, as well as a 0.87 WHIP. Sale is 0-0 with 11 strikeouts and a 2.57 ERA in one start against Minnesota this year.

As a unit, Boston’s pitching staff has given up 3.7 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 3.63 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.41 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.7 K/9.

Boston’s hitters are putting up 5.3 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .230/.302/.382 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Red Sox offense has been led by J.D. Martinez, who is slashing .323/.386/.640 with 31 home runs, 85 RBIs and 74 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.29 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.68 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.68, along with a WHIP of 1.34 and a K/9 of 9.29.

Twins hitters have slashed .246/.319/.406 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 6.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Minnesota’s hitters have been paced by Eddie Rosario. Rosario is hitting .308/.351/.517 with 19 home runs, 62 RBIs and 69 runs scored.

The Twins are coming off a 2-1 win in the prior game of this series.

Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has cashed in only two of Boston’s last seven games.

The Twins have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.

Minnesota has averaged 27.1 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 outings and 26.0 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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