Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Free Pick 08/10/18

The Minnesota Twins will pay a visit to Detroit to take on their AL Central rival Tigers at Comerica Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports North will televise the matchup.

Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Odds

Vegas has listed Detroit (+105) as the underdog to Minnesota (-115). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -125 for over nine runs and +105 for under nine. The game’s runline odds sit at +130 for picking the Twins -1.5 runs and -150 for the Tigers +1.5.

The Tigers are 58-57 against the spread (ATS), but only 47-66 straight up (SU). The team hasn’t moved the needle a whole lot for gamblers, losing 4.7 units for moneyline bettors and 8.7 units (ATS). Detroit has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven. The Twins have gone 52-59 SU this year and are 62-51 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 7.8 units for moneyline bettors, but have gained 8.0 units ATS. Minnesota is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Detroit games have a 45-65-5 over/under record in 2018. Minnesota has an over/under record of 54-56-3.

Ervin Santana will get the nod for the visiting Twins. The right-handed Santana is 0-0 with a 6.14 ERA and nine strikeouts. He has yet to face Detroit this year, but he made three starts against the team in 2017, posting a 1-1 record with a 5.87 ERA and 14 strikeouts.

The Tigers will turn to righty Jordan Zimmermann (4-4, 4.31 ERA), who has 73 strikeouts and 16 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.23. Zimmermann made four starts against the Twins in 2017, putting together a 0-3 record with an 11.49 ERA.

Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.28 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.47 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 7.8 K/9. In 44 games against AL Central foes, Tigers starters have an ERA of 4.11 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.45.

Detroit’s offense has put up 3.8 runs per contest, including 3.5 per game against divisional foes and 2.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .206/.246/.276 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Tigers’ batters have been led by outfielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Castellanos is hitting .284/.336/.484 with 16 home runs, 59 RBIs and 58 runs scored, and Iglesias has put up a line of .267/.306/.391 with four homers, 45 RBIs, 35 runs and 14 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.34 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.48 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.70, along with a K/9 of 9.47.

The Twins offense has slashed .244/.317/.400 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Minnesota’s offensive production has been powered by left fielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar, who’ve collectively swatted 35 home runs. Rosario is hitting .293/.334/.494 with 20 home runs, 66 RBIs and 72 runs scored, while Escobar is slashing .274/.338/.514 with 15 homers, 63 RBIs and 45 runs scored.

The Twins have lost 5.5 units and are 43-39 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 42 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 11.8 units and are 38-46 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 30 of those games, as opposed to 50 which went under the total.

Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Tigers, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Notes

Minnesota has tallied 13 extra-base hits over its last five games. Detroit has eight XBH over its last five.

Minnesota has recorded 17.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.4 over its last five.

Both teams have hit six home runs over their last 10 outings.

*****

Summary
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Tigers vs Twins
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